set deskSeptember 2026

Lost Origin

217 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-25

Full set$1,400

Median card$0.2

30 days+1.6%

90 days−2.4%

Top 10 share86%

Priced230

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history347 recorded readings

All-time high$1,4422026-07-03

From that high−2.9%set value today

First recorded$1,039when we started tracking, not a release

Dearer than86%299 of 347 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Lost Origin

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 86% of the bill

10 cards · $1,204other 220 · $196

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price

$841

Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)

+2.4% 30d

$209

Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)

−1.7% 30d

$31

Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)

+0.5% 30d

$28.37

Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)

+1.0% 30d

$21.91

Galarian Perrserker V (Alternate Full Art)

+0.9% 30d

$18.94

Giratina VSTAR (212) (Secret)

+3.0% 30d

$18.19

Giratina V (Full Art)

+3.8% 30d

$15.46

Aerodactyl VSTAR (Secret)

+4.0% 30d

$10.12

Hisuian Goodra VSTAR (Secret)

Every card217 cards · 217 priced

No.	Card	Rarity	Market
001/196	Oddish	Common	$0.12
002/196	Gloom	Uncommon	$0.21
003/196	Vileplume	Holo Rare	$0.35
004/196	Paras	Common	$0.12
005/196	Parasect	Rare	$0.19
006/196	Wurmple	Common	$0.17
007/196	Silcoon	Uncommon	$0.10
008/196	Beautifly	Holo Rare	$0.42
009/196	Cascoon	Uncommon	$0.06
010/196	Dustox	Rare	$0.17
011/196	Seedot	Common	$0.20
012/196	Nuzleaf	Uncommon	$0.12
013/196	Shiftry	Holo Rare	$0.20
014/196	Roselia	Common	$0.12
015/196	Roserade	Uncommon	$0.15
016/196	Phantump	Common	$0.13
017/196	Trevenant	Holo Rare	$0.19
018/196	Blipbug	Common	$0.25
019/196	Dottler	Uncommon	$0.06
020/196	Orbeetle	Holo Rare	$0.19
021/196	Slugma	Common	$0.06
022/196	Magcargo	Rare	$0.15
023/196	Torkoal	Uncommon	$0.13
024/196	Litwick	Common	$0.18
025/196	Lampent	Uncommon	$0.04
026/196	Chandelure	Holo Rare	$0.28
027/196	Delphox V	Holo Rare V	$0.90
028/196	Litleo	Common	$0.12
029/196	Pyroar	Holo Rare	$0.27
030/196	Poliwag	Common	$0.15
031/196	Poliwhirl	Uncommon	$0.19
032/196	Politoed	Rare	$0.36
033/196	Seel	Common	$0.13
034/196	Dewgong	Rare	$0.16
035/196	Horsea	Common	$0.13
036/196	Seadra	Uncommon	$0.12
037/196	Kingdra	Holo Rare	$0.34
038/196	Luvdisc	Common	$0.11
039/196	Shellos	Common	$0.15
040/196	Finneon	Common	$0.15
041/196	Lumineon	Uncommon	$0.11
042/196	Snover	Common	$0.03
043/196	Abomasnow	Uncommon	$0.10
044/196	Hisuian Basculin	Common	$0.06
045/196	Hisuian Basculegion	Holo Rare	$0.37
046/196	Ducklett	Common	$0.23
047/196	Swanna	Uncommon	$0.13
048/196	Kyurem V	Holo Rare V	$0.93
049/196	Kyurem VMAX	Holo Rare VMAX	$2.24
050/196	Cramorant	Rare	$0.21
051/196	Glastrier	Holo Rare	$0.32
052/196	Pikachu	Common	$1.91
053/196	Raichu	Rare	$0.26
054/196	Electrike	Common	$0.09
055/196	Manectric	Rare	$0.16
056/196	Magnezone V	Holo Rare VMAX	$0.77
057/196	Magnezone VSTAR	Holo Rare VSTAR	$1.28
058/196	Rotom V	Holo Rare VMAX	$0.86
059/196	Tynamo	Common	$0.11
060/196	Eelektrik	Uncommon	$0.06
061/196	Eelektross	Rare	$0.18
062/196	Clefairy	Common	$0.19
063/196	Clefable	Rare	$0.25
064/196	Gastly	Common	$0.19
065/196	Haunter	Uncommon	$0.19
066/196	Gengar	Holo Rare	$3.88
067/196	Mr. Mime	Rare	$0.23
068/196	Jynx	Common	$0.17
069/196	Radiant Gardevoir	Radiant Rare	$1.55
070/196	Sableye	Holo Rare	$0.50
071/196	Mawile	Common	$0.20
072/196	Shuppet	Common	$0.19
073/196	Banette	Rare	$0.22
074/196	Cresselia	Holo Rare	$0.36
075/196	Hisuian Zorua	Common	$0.19
076/196	Hisuian Zoroark	Holo Rare	$0.37
077/196	Inkay	Common	$0.11
078/196	Malamar	Rare	$0.25
079/196	Comfey	Rare	$0.24
080/196	Mimikyu	Rare	$0.64
081/196	Spectrier	Holo Rare	$0.40
082/196	Enamorus V	Holo Rare V	$0.80
083/196	Hisuian Growlithe	Common	$0.15
084/196	Hisuian Arcanine	Holo Rare	$0.34
085/196	Poliwrath	Rare	$0.31
086/196	Machop	Common	$0.20
087/196	Machoke	Uncommon	$0.12
088/196	Machamp	Holo Rare	$0.33
089/196	Rhyhorn	Common	$0.09
090/196	Rhydon	Uncommon	$0.10
091/196	Rhyperior	Rare	$0.12
092/196	Aerodactyl V	Holo Rare V	$1.02
093/196	Aerodactyl VSTAR	Holo Rare VSTAR	$1.49
094/196	Sudowoodo	Common	$0.14
095/196	Gligar	Common	$0.12
096/196	Gliscor	Rare	$0.21
097/196	Makuhita	Common	$0.09
098/196	Hariyama	Uncommon	$0.11
099/196	Meditite	Common	$0.11
100/196	Medicham	Uncommon	$0.10
101/196	Relicanth	Uncommon	$0.12
102/196	Gastrodon	Uncommon	$0.19
103/196	Mienfoo	Common	$0.10
104/196	Mienshao	Uncommon	$0.15
105/196	Landorus	Rare	$0.18
106/196	Binacle	Common	$0.08
107/196	Barbaracle	Holo Rare	$0.20
108/196	Carbink	Uncommon	$0.15
109/196	Rockruff	Common	$0.18
110/196	Falinks	Common	$0.08
111/196	Stonjourner	Rare	$0.18
112/196	Spinarak	Common	$0.13
113/196	Ariados	Rare	$0.25
114/196	Murkrow	Common	$0.18
115/196	Honchkrow	Rare	$0.14
116/196	Seviper	Uncommon	$0.18
117/196	Spiritomb	Rare	$0.13
118/196	Drapion V	Holo Rare V	$0.74
119/196	Drapion VSTAR	Holo Rare VSTAR	$0.98
120/196	Darkrai	Holo Rare	$0.37
121/196	Inkay	Common	$0.16
122/196	Hoopa	Rare	$0.14
123/196	Radiant Hisuian Sneasler	Radiant Rare	$0.48
124/196	Radiant Steelix	Radiant Rare	$1.12
125/196	Bronzor	Common	$0.13
126/196	Bronzong	Uncommon	$0.11
127/196	Galarian Stunfisk	Uncommon	$0.13
128/196	Magearna	Rare	$0.20
129/196	Galarian Perrserker V	Holo Rare V	$0.84
130/196	Giratina V	Holo Rare V	$1.89
131/196	Giratina VSTAR	Holo Rare VSTAR	$2.36
132/196	Goomy	Common	$0.12
133/196	Hisuian Sliggoo	Uncommon	$0.21
134/196	Hisuian Goodra	Holo Rare	$0.31
135/196	Hisuian Goodra V	Holo Rare V	$0.69
136/196	Hisuian Goodra VSTAR	Holo Rare VSTAR	$1.58
137/196	Pidgeot V	Holo Rare V	$0.85
138/196	Lickitung	Common	$0.12
139/196	Lickilicky	Uncommon	$0.16
140/196	Porygon	Common	$0.17
141/196	Porygon2	Uncommon	$0.14
142/196	Porygon-Z	Rare	$0.27
143/196	Snorlax	Holo Rare	$2.99
144/196	Aipom	Common	$0.18
145/196	Ambipom	Uncommon	$0.08
146/196	Hisuian Zoroark V	Holo Rare V	$0.96
147/196	Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR	Holo Rare VSTAR	$1.23
148/196	Bouffalant	Rare	$0.14
149/196	Komala	Uncommon	$0.16
150/196	Skwovet	Common	$0.14
151/196	Greedent	Rare	$0.22
152/196	Arc Phone	Uncommon	$0.08
153/196	Arezu	Uncommon	$0.17
154/196	Box of Disaster	Uncommon	$0.14
155/196	Colress's Experiment	Uncommon	$0.19
156/196	Damage Pump	Uncommon	$0.15
157/196	Fantina	Uncommon	$0.09
158/196	Iscan	Uncommon	$0.07
159/196	Lady	Uncommon	$0.22
160/196	Lake Acuity	Uncommon	$0.11
161/196	Lost City	Uncommon	$0.14
162/196	Lost Vacuum	Uncommon	$0.16
163/196	Mirage Gate	Uncommon	$0.20
164/196	Miss Fortune Sisters	Uncommon	$0.22
165/196	Panic Mask	Uncommon	$0.10
166/196	Riley	Uncommon	$0.07
167/196	Thorton	Uncommon	$0.16
168/196	Tool Box	Uncommon	$0.11
169/196	Volo	Holo Rare	$0.24
170/196	Windup Arm	Uncommon	$0.03
171/196	Gift Energy	Uncommon	$0.19
172/196	Hisuian Electrode V	Ultra Rare	$2.20
173/196	Delphox V	Ultra Rare	$4.04
174/196	Kyurem V	Ultra Rare	$3.31
175/196	Magnezone V	Ultra Rare	$1.76
176/196	Rotom V	Ultra Rare	$2.76
177/196	Rotom V	Ultra Rare	$31.00
178/196	Enamorus V	Ultra Rare	$2.36
179/196	Aerodactyl V	Ultra Rare	$2.70
180/196	Aerodactyl V	Ultra Rare	$208.96
181/196	Gallade V	Ultra Rare	$2.78
182/196	Drapion V	Ultra Rare	$1.67
183/196	Galarian Perrserker V	Ultra Rare	$1.82
184/196	Galarian Perrserker V	Ultra Rare	$21.97
185/196	Giratina V	Ultra Rare	$18.23
186/196	Giratina V	Ultra Rare	$841.43
187/196	Hisuian Goodra V	Ultra Rare	$3.00
188/196	Pidgeot V	Ultra Rare	$2.91
189/196	Arezu	Ultra Rare	$4.53
190/196	Colress's Experiment	Ultra Rare	$1.47
191/196	Fantina	Ultra Rare	$3.03
192/196	Iscan	Ultra Rare	$1.23
193/196	Lady	Ultra Rare	$4.01
194/196	Miss Fortune Sisters	Ultra Rare	$3.71
195/196	Thorton	Ultra Rare	$1.16
196/196	Volo	Ultra Rare	$2.47
197/196	Kyurem VMAX	Secret Rare	$9.43
198/196	Magnezone VSTAR	Secret Rare	$6.38
199/196	Aerodactyl VSTAR	Secret Rare	$15.28
200/196	Drapion VSTAR	Secret Rare	$6.17
201/196	Giratina VSTAR	Secret Rare	$28.19
202/196	Hisuian Goodra VSTAR	Secret Rare	$10.25
203/196	Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR	Secret Rare	$8.75
204/196	Arezu	Secret Rare	$4.64
205/196	Colress's Experiment	Secret Rare	$3.45
206/196	Fantina	Secret Rare	$4.21
207/196	Iscan	Secret Rare	$3.13
208/196	Lady	Secret Rare	$5.41
209/196	Miss Fortune Sisters	Secret Rare	$4.98
210/196	Thorton	Secret Rare	$3.19
211/196	Volo	Secret Rare	$5.46
212/196	Giratina VSTAR	Secret Rare	$18.95
213/196	Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR	Secret Rare	$6.47
214/196	Box of Disaster	Secret Rare	$2.01
215/196	Collapsed Stadium	Secret Rare	$2.65
216/196	Dark Patch	Secret Rare	$2.94
217/196	Lost Vacuum	Secret Rare	$2.07

Every Lost Origin card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 220 of the 230 priced cards in Lost Origin for about $196. The median card is $0.2. The remaining $1,204 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Giratina V (Alternate Full Art), $841) is 60% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 14% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read

Card vs box+14.7% vs the box

chase card · Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)$841.43

sealed booster box · Lost Origin$733.73

the card114.7% of the box

PRICIER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $107.7 more than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-25.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read347 recorded points · 606 days

30-day return+1.4%

90-day return-2.4%

Realized vol4%annualized, ~90d daily returns

Max drawdown-25.0%recorded window

Off recorded high-2.9%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Pull ratesmeasured

The chase, priced in packsGiratina V ($841.43) lands about once per 804 packs · ~22.3 booster boxes · $16,387 of packs at today's box price

Tier	Odds per pack	Cards in tier	Expected per box
Any ultra rare	1 in 5	—	7.2
Any V	1 in 9	—	4
VMAX / VSTAR	1 in 23	—	1.57
Full Art V	1 in 51	—	0.71
Full Art Trainer	1 in 70	—	0.51
Alt-art V	1 in 201	—	0.18
Gold rare	1 in 131	—	0.27

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk24 products · 13 lots

Cheapest recorded route to packsLost Origin Booster Pack $19.56/pack

Biggest 30-day moveLost Origin Booster Pack +15.4%

	Product	Price	Family	Packs	$/pack	30d
01	Lost Origin Booster Box	$733.73	Booster Box	36	$20.38	+1.0%
02	Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard	$574.36	Premium Collection	·	·	−2.8%
03	Lost Origin Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)	$380.91	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	−3.0%
04	Arceus VSTAR Ultra-Premium Collection	$380.84	Premium Collection	·	·	−0.2%
05	Arceus VSTAR Premium Collection	$295.16	Premium Collection	·	·	+5.1%
06	Lost Origin Build & Battle Stadium	$225.58	Build & Battle	·	·	+1.6%
07	Lost Origin Booster Bundle	$202.15	Booster Bundle	6	$33.69	0.0%
08	Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box	$195.00	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−3.0%
09	Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR Premium Collection	$179.07	Premium Collection	·	·	−5.3%
10	Origin Forme Dialga VSTAR Premium Collection	$119.26	Premium Collection	·	·	+2.6%
11	Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Premium Collection	$117.81	Premium Collection	·	·	+2.8%
12	Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR Premium Collection (International Version)	$99.93	Premium Collection	·	·	+1.7%
13	Lost Origin Build & Battle Box	$80.52	Build & Battle	·	·	+1.1%
14	Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Weavile]	$65.79	Blister	·	·	+1.6%
15	Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas]	$58.97	Blister	·	·	+9.3%
16	Pokemon Stacking Tin: Fighting	$57.97	Tin	·	·	−3.4%
17	Pokemon Stacking Tin: Fire	$51.81	Tin	·	·	−0.9%
18	Pokemon Stacking Tin: Darkness	$51.25	Tin	·	·	−0.7%
19	Lost Origin Premium Checklane Blister [Torterra]	$29.56	Blister	·	·	+6.9%
20	Lost Origin Premium Checklane Blister [Infernape]	$22.81	Blister	·	·	+2.7%
21	Lost Origin Sleeved Booster Pack	$21.84	Booster Pack	1	$21.84	−0.3%
22	Lost Origin Booster Pack	$19.56	Booster Pack	1	$19.56	+15.4%
23	Lost Origin Single Pack Blister [Scorbunny]	$19.41	Blister	·	·	+2.6%
24	Lost Origin Single Pack Blister [Croagunk]	$16.96	Blister	·	·	+1.9%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
	Lost Origin Booster Box Case	$4,563.07	Booster Boxlot	·	·	+0.4%
	Lost Origin Sleeved Booster Pack Case	$2,860.12	Booster Packlot	·	·	+1.6%
	Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard Case	$2,587.56	Premium Collectionlot	·	·	+8.0%
	Lost Origin Elite Trainer Box Case	$1,953.94	Elite Trainer Boxlot	·	·	+3.3%
	Lost Origin Build & Battle Stadium Case	$950.00	Build & Battlelot	·	·	·
	Lost Origin Build & Battle Box Display	$903.55	Build & Battlelot	·	·	+1.2%
	Origin Forme Dialga/Palkia VSTAR Premium Collection [Set of 2]	$218.33	Premium Collectionlot	·	·	+2.6%
	Lost Origin Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8]	$154.71	Booster Packlot	·	·	0.0%
	Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2]	$146.88	Blisterlot	·	·	+0.1%
	Pokemon Stacking Tins: Fighting-Fire-Darkness [Set of 3]	$110.00	Productlot	·	·	·
	Lost Origin Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$85.37	Booster Packlot	·	·	+5.9%
	Lost Origin Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$76.41	Booster Packlot	·	·	+3.7%
	Lost Origin Single Pack Blister [Set of 2]	$39.65	Blisterlot	·	·	−2.9%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold

Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Lost Origin?

4.8%

of boxes beat the $734 box price

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Lost Origin using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($734, $20.39/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 30.2% of the box ask on average.

Median box

$156

Expected value

$221

Bottom 5%

$88

Top 5%

$558

Where 10,000 boxes landed

77.5%

$0-250

17.2%

$250-500

0.5%

$500-750

2.6%

$750-1000

1.9%

$1000-1250

0.1%

$1250-1500

0.0%

$1500-1750

0.1%

$1750-2000

Red buckets end below the $734 box price. 91.5% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.1% doubled it.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)

Hit tier	Published rate	Pool	Avg / box	Mean value	Best case
Trainer Gallery	1-in-8 (12.31%)	30	4.43	$19.56	Pikachu V ($123)
Full-art V	1-in-51 (1.98%)	17	0.71	$67.84	Giratina V ($841)
Alt-art V	1-in-201 (0.50%)	17	0.19	$67.84	Giratina V ($841)
Pokemon V	1-in-9 (11.63%)	10	4.18	$0.96	Giratina V ($2)
Rainbow rare	1-in-78 (1.28%)	21	0.46	$7.33	Giratina VSTAR ($28)
VMAX / VSTAR	1-in-23 (4.42%)	9	1.57	$1.42	Giratina VSTAR ($2)
Gold secret rare	1-in-131 (0.76%)	21	0.28	$7.33	Giratina VSTAR ($28)
Radiant rare	1-in-20 (5.01%)	3	1.81	$1.05	Radiant Gardevoir ($2)
Full-art Trainer	1-in-70 (1.42%)	8	0.51	$2.70	Arezu ($5)

Rows that repeat a pool are not a duplication: our catalog files full-art and alt-art V under one rarity, and rainbow and gold secrets under another, so the two published rates roll separately over the same cards.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $734 box price (Lost Origin Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 9 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 52.3% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $62 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (247 of 247 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · +1.6% 30d · −2.4% 90d

2025-01-27$1,4002026-09-25

Breadth: 104 cards up · 69 down · 57 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Dark Patch (Secret) (+15.3%).