set deskSeptember 2026
Mega Evolution
Full set$1,530
Median card$0.2
30 days−6.1%
90 days−16.9%
Top 10 share80%
Priced194
All-time high$3,1882025-09-29
From that high−52.0%set value today
From launch−52.0%2025-09-29
Days to peak3from the release date
Dearer than6%19 of 300 recorded days were cheaper
Ask about Mega Evolution
Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.
Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.
10 cards · $1,230other 184 · $300
The short, expensive tail of the set.
| No. | Card | Rarity | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 001/132 | Bulbasaur | Common | $0.18 |
| 002/132 | Ivysaur | Common | $0.24 |
| 003/132 | Mega Venusaur ex | Double rare | $1.16 |
| 004/132 | Exeggcute | Common | $0.11 |
| 005/132 | Exeggutor | Uncommon | $0.07 |
| 006/132 | Tangela | Common | $0.07 |
| 007/132 | Tangrowth | Uncommon | $0.07 |
| 008/132 | Chikorita | Common | $0.18 |
| 009/132 | Bayleef | Common | $0.28 |
| 010/132 | Meganium | Rare | $0.25 |
| 011/132 | Shuckle | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 012/132 | Celebi | Uncommon | $0.22 |
| 013/132 | Seedot | Common | $0.07 |
| 014/132 | Nuzleaf | Common | $0.05 |
| 015/132 | Shiftry | Uncommon | $0.06 |
| 016/132 | Nincada | Common | $0.13 |
| 017/132 | Ninjask | Uncommon | $0.05 |
| 018/132 | Dhelmise | Common | $0.04 |
| 019/132 | Vulpix | Common | $0.08 |
| 020/132 | Ninetales | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 021/132 | Numel | Common | $0.06 |
| 022/132 | Mega Camerupt ex | Double rare | $0.49 |
| 023/132 | Litleo | Common | $0.12 |
| 024/132 | Pyroar | Uncommon | $0.06 |
| 025/132 | Volcanion | Uncommon | $0.06 |
| 026/132 | Scorbunny | Common | $0.13 |
| 027/132 | Raboot | Common | $0.16 |
| 028/132 | Cinderace | Rare | $0.28 |
| 029/132 | Sizzlipede | Common | $0.07 |
| 030/132 | Centiskorch | Uncommon | $0.09 |
| 031/132 | Chi-Yu | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 032/132 | Mantine | Common | $0.18 |
| 033/132 | Corphish | Common | $0.08 |
| 034/132 | Kyogre | Rare | $0.23 |
| 035/132 | Snover | Common | $0.08 |
| 036/132 | Mega Abomasnow ex | Double rare | $0.64 |
| 037/132 | Clauncher | Common | $0.16 |
| 038/132 | Clawitzer | Rare | $0.14 |
| 039/132 | Sobble | Common | $0.13 |
| 040/132 | Drizzile | Common | $0.12 |
| 041/132 | Inteleon | Uncommon | $0.05 |
| 042/132 | Snom | Common | $0.16 |
| 043/132 | Frosmoth | Uncommon | $0.12 |
| 044/132 | Eiscue | Common | $0.05 |
| 045/132 | Magnemite | Common | $0.06 |
| 046/132 | Magneton | Common | $0.09 |
| 047/132 | Magnezone | Uncommon | $0.07 |
| 048/132 | Raikou | Rare | $0.38 |
| 049/132 | Electrike | Common | $0.15 |
| 050/132 | Mega Manectric ex | Double rare | $0.61 |
| 051/132 | Pachirisu | Common | $0.07 |
| 052/132 | Helioptile | Common | $0.14 |
| 053/132 | Heliolisk | Common | $0.09 |
| 054/132 | Abra | Common | $0.23 |
| 055/132 | Kadabra | Uncommon | $0.22 |
| 056/132 | Alakazam | Rare | $0.30 |
| 057/132 | Jynx | Common | $0.14 |
| 058/132 | Ralts | Common | $0.18 |
| 059/132 | Kirlia | Common | $0.22 |
| 060/132 | Mega Gardevoir ex | Double rare | $0.54 |
| 061/132 | Shedinja | Uncommon | $0.06 |
| 062/132 | Spoink | Common | $0.20 |
| 063/132 | Grumpig | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 064/132 | Xerneas | Rare | $0.20 |
| 065/132 | Greavard | Common | $0.09 |
| 066/132 | Houndstone | Uncommon | $0.10 |
| 067/132 | Gimmighoul | Common | $0.05 |
| 068/132 | Sandshrew | Common | $0.20 |
| 069/132 | Sandslash | Common | $0.08 |
| 070/132 | Onix | Common | $0.12 |
| 071/132 | Tyrogue | Common | $0.15 |
| 072/132 | Makuhita | Common | $0.16 |
| 073/132 | Hariyama | Rare | $0.21 |
| 074/132 | Lunatone | Rare | $0.28 |
| 075/132 | Solrock | Uncommon | $0.22 |
| 076/132 | Riolu | Common | $0.15 |
| 077/132 | Mega Lucario ex | Double rare | $0.85 |
| 078/132 | Croagunk | Common | $0.05 |
| 079/132 | Toxicroak | Common | $0.05 |
| 080/132 | Marshadow | Uncommon | $0.07 |
| 081/132 | Stonjourner | Uncommon | $0.04 |
| 082/132 | Nacli | Common | $0.07 |
| 083/132 | Naclstack | Common | $0.14 |
| 084/132 | Garganacl | Uncommon | $0.04 |
| 085/132 | Crawdaunt | Uncommon | $0.05 |
| 086/132 | Mega Absol ex | Double rare | $0.64 |
| 087/132 | Spiritomb | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 088/132 | Yveltal | Rare | $0.24 |
| 089/132 | Nickit | Common | $0.09 |
| 090/132 | Thievul | Common | $0.07 |
| 091/132 | Shroodle | Common | $0.08 |
| 092/132 | Grafaiai | Common | $0.06 |
| 093/132 | Steelix | Rare | $0.15 |
| 094/132 | Mega Mawile ex | Double rare | $0.60 |
| 095/132 | Dialga | Rare | $0.18 |
| 096/132 | Tinkatink | Common | $0.10 |
| 097/132 | Tinkatuff | Common | $0.11 |
| 098/132 | Tinkaton | Uncommon | $0.08 |
| 099/132 | Gholdengo | Uncommon | $0.06 |
| 100/132 | Mega Latias ex | Double rare | $0.57 |
| 101/132 | Latios | Uncommon | $0.17 |
| 102/132 | Spearow | Common | $0.07 |
| 103/132 | Fearow | Common | $0.07 |
| 104/132 | Mega Kangaskhan ex | Double rare | $1.27 |
| 105/132 | Delibird | Common | $0.07 |
| 106/132 | Miltank | Common | $0.10 |
| 107/132 | Buneary | Common | $0.08 |
| 108/132 | Lopunny | Common | $0.10 |
| 109/132 | Yungoos | Common | $0.08 |
| 110/132 | Gumshoos | Uncommon | $0.04 |
| 111/132 | Stufful | Common | $0.06 |
| 112/132 | Bewear | Common | $0.11 |
| 113/132 | Acerola's Mischief | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 114/132 | Boss's Orders | Uncommon | $0.27 |
| 115/132 | Energy Switch | Common | $0.23 |
| 116/132 | Fighting Gong | Uncommon | $0.17 |
| 117/132 | Forest of Vitality | Uncommon | $0.25 |
| 118/132 | Iron Defender | Uncommon | $0.11 |
| 119/132 | Lillie's Determination | Uncommon | $0.34 |
| 120/132 | Lt. Surge's Bargain | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 121/132 | Mega Signal | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 122/132 | Mystery Garden | Uncommon | $0.19 |
| 123/132 | Pokémon Center Lady | Common | $0.21 |
| 124/132 | Premium Power Pro | Uncommon | $0.18 |
| 125/132 | Rare Candy | Common | $0.21 |
| 126/132 | Repel | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 127/132 | Risky Ruins | Uncommon | $0.22 |
| 128/132 | Strange Timepiece | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 129/132 | Surfing Beach | Uncommon | $0.31 |
| 130/132 | Switch | Common | $0.26 |
| 131/132 | Ultra Ball | Common | $0.25 |
| 132/132 | Wally's Compassion | Uncommon | $0.26 |
| 133/132 | Bulbasaur | Illustration rare | $18.78 |
| 134/132 | Ivysaur | Illustration rare | $16.71 |
| 135/132 | Exeggutor | Illustration rare | $5.27 |
| 136/132 | Shuckle | Illustration rare | $7.41 |
| 137/132 | Ninjask | Illustration rare | $3.97 |
| 138/132 | Vulpix | Illustration rare | $19.04 |
| 139/132 | Litleo | Illustration rare | $4.59 |
| 140/132 | Snover | Illustration rare | $2.14 |
| 141/132 | Clawitzer | Illustration rare | $1.69 |
| 142/132 | Inteleon | Illustration rare | $2.51 |
| 143/132 | Helioptile | Illustration rare | $2.70 |
| 144/132 | Shedinja | Illustration rare | $3.51 |
| 145/132 | Houndstone | Illustration rare | $3.04 |
| 146/132 | Marshadow | Illustration rare | $10.86 |
| 147/132 | Garganacl | Illustration rare | $1.30 |
| 148/132 | Spiritomb | Illustration rare | $2.67 |
| 149/132 | Shroodle | Illustration rare | $2.25 |
| 150/132 | Steelix | Illustration rare | $6.36 |
| 151/132 | Spearow | Illustration rare | $4.17 |
| 152/132 | Delibird | Illustration rare | $2.72 |
| 153/132 | Gumshoos | Illustration rare | $2.90 |
| 154/132 | Stufful | Illustration rare | $7.35 |
| 155/132 | Mega Venusaur ex | Ultra Rare | $11.28 |
| 156/132 | Mega Camerupt ex | Ultra Rare | $1.49 |
| 157/132 | Mega Abomasnow ex | Ultra Rare | $1.81 |
| 158/132 | Mega Manectric ex | Ultra Rare | $2.38 |
| 159/132 | Mega Gardevoir ex | Ultra Rare | $4.82 |
| 160/132 | Mega Lucario ex | Ultra Rare | $11.27 |
| 161/132 | Mega Absol ex | Ultra Rare | $4.78 |
| 162/132 | Mega Mawile ex | Ultra Rare | $2.34 |
| 163/132 | Mega Latias ex | Ultra Rare | $4.52 |
| 164/132 | Mega Kangaskhan ex | Ultra Rare | $5.39 |
| 165/132 | Acerola's Mischief | Ultra Rare | $1.79 |
| 166/132 | Air Balloon | Ultra Rare | $2.45 |
| 167/132 | Buddy-Buddy Poffin | Ultra Rare | $5.38 |
| 168/132 | Fighting Gong | Ultra Rare | $1.98 |
| 169/132 | Lillie's Determination | Ultra Rare | $19.28 |
| 170/132 | Lt. Surge's Bargain | Ultra Rare | $0.93 |
| 171/132 | Mega Signal | Ultra Rare | $1.27 |
| 172/132 | Mystery Garden | Ultra Rare | $1.08 |
| 173/132 | Night Stretcher | Ultra Rare | $5.02 |
| 174/132 | Premium Power Pro | Ultra Rare | $1.74 |
| 175/132 | Rare Candy | Ultra Rare | $4.07 |
| 176/132 | Wally's Compassion | Ultra Rare | $2.80 |
| 177/132 | Mega Venusaur ex | Special illustration rare | $152.93 |
| 178/132 | Mega Gardevoir ex | Special illustration rare | $171.15 |
| 179/132 | Mega Lucario ex | Special illustration rare | $180.09 |
| 180/132 | Mega Absol ex | Special illustration rare | $53.34 |
| 181/132 | Mega Latias ex | Special illustration rare | $76.63 |
| 182/132 | Mega Kangaskhan ex | Special illustration rare | $54.18 |
| 183/132 | Acerola's Mischief | Special illustration rare | $31.11 |
| 184/132 | Lillie's Determination | Special illustration rare | $60.12 |
| 185/132 | Lt. Surge's Bargain | Special illustration rare | $15.88 |
| 186/132 | Wally's Compassion | Special illustration rare | $21.06 |
| 187/132 | Mega Gardevoir ex | Mega Hyper Rare | $194.28 |
| 188/132 | Mega Lucario ex | Mega Hyper Rare | $246.35 |
Every Mega Evolution card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.
You can own 184 of the 194 priced cards in Mega Evolution for about $300. The median card is $0.2. The remaining $1,230 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Mega Lucario ex - 188/132, $248) is 16% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 20% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
chase card · Mega Lucario ex - 188/132$246.35
sealed booster box · Mega Evolution$310.03
the card79.5% of the box
CHEAPER THAN THE BOX
The single most valuable card in this set costs $63.68 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-25.
Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
30-day return-5.7%
90-day return-15.8%
Realized vol6%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-52.6%recorded window
Off recorded high-52.0%
Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.
The chase, priced in packsMega Lucario ex ($246.35) lands about once per 2,520 packs · ~70 booster boxes · $21,702 of packs at today's box price
| Tier | Odds per pack | Cards in tier | Expected per box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double rare (ex) | 1 in 5 | 10 | 7.2 |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1 in 12 | 22 | 3 |
| Illustration rare | 1 in 9 | 22 | 4 |
| Special illustration rare | 1 in 101 | 10 | 0.36 |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1 in 1260 | 2 | 0.03 |
Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (5,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.
Cheapest recorded route to packsMega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box $7.96/pack
Biggest 30-day moveMega Evolution Half Booster Box +25.0%
Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes
Should you rip Mega Evolution?
3.4%
of boxes beat the $312 box price
We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Mega Evolution using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($312, $8.65/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 40.7% of the box ask on average.
Median box
$99
Expected value
$127
Bottom 5%
$67
Top 5%
$287
Where 10,000 boxes landed
51.1%$0-100
35.1%$100-200
9.8%$200-300
3.0%$300-400
0.8%$400-500
0.2%$500-600
0.1%$600-700
0.0%$700-800
Red buckets end below the $312 box price. 81.1% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.1% doubled it.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
| Hit tier | Published rate | Pool | Avg / box | Mean value | Best case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special illustration rare | 1-in-101 (0.99% +/- 0.27%) | 10 | 0.36 | $81.73 | Mega Lucario ex ($180) |
| Illustration rare | 1-in-9 (10.89% +/- 0.86%) | 22 | 3.9 | $6.10 | Bulbasaur ($20) |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1-in-12 (8.23% +/- 0.76%) | 22 | 2.97 | $4.51 | Lillie's Determination ($20) |
| Mega hyper rare (gold) | 1-in-1260 (0.08% +/- 0.08%) | 2 | 0.03 | $221.70 | Mega Lucario ex ($248) |
| Double rare (ex) | 1-in-5 (20.91% +/- 1.12%) | 10 | 7.51 | $0.74 | Mega Kangaskhan ex ($1) |
Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $312 box price (Mega Evolution Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 5,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 19.0% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $48 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (188 of 188 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.
Breadth: 68 cards up · 98 down · 28 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Premium Power Pro - 174/132 (+27.7%).