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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskOctober 2026

Movie Commemoration VS Pack: Sea's Manaphy

19 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-10-02
Full set$293
Median card$14
30 days−0.5%
90 days−0.5%
Top 10 share94%
Priced15

Set Market Report PRO

Ask about Movie Commemoration VS Pack: Sea's Manaphy

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 94% of the bill
10 cards · $276other 5 · $17

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$49.99
Ash's Aipom01
Ash's Aipom
+17.7% 30d
$44
Brock's Marshtomp02
Brock's Marshtomp
+0.0% 30d
$39.99
Sea's Manaphy03
Sea's Manaphy
+25.9% 30d
$34.99
Samiya's Mantyke04
Samiya's Mantyke
+5.0% 30d
$28.79
Shep's Walrein05
Shep's Walrein
+0.0% 30d
$20
Phantom's Beedrill06
Phantom's Beedrill
+0.0% 30d
$19.99
Manaphy's Egg07
Manaphy's Egg
+0.0% 30d
$14
May's Combusken08
May's Combusken
+0.0% 30d
$14
Samiya's Buizel09
Samiya's Buizel
+0.0% 30d
$10
Samiya's Fearow10
Samiya's Fearow
+0.0% 30d
Every card19 cards · 15 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
001/019Phantom's Beedrill$20.00
002/019May's Combusken$14.00
003/019Samiya's Mantyke$39.99
004/019Samiya's Buizel$14.00
005/019Sea's Manaphy$39.99
006/019Shep's Walrein$28.79
007/019Lizabeth's Medicham$3.33
008/019Brock's Marshtomp$44.00
009/019Samiya's Fearow$10.00
010/019Ash's Aipom$49.99
011/019Phantom's Chatot$2.00
012/019Energy Restore·
013/019Energy Search·
014/019Potion·
015/019Switch$2.00
016/019Manaphy's Egg$19.99
017/019Poke Ball·
018/019Jackie's Capture$7.79
019/019Rainbow Energy$2.00

Every Movie Commemoration VS Pack: Sea's Manaphy card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 5 of the 15 priced cards in Movie Commemoration VS Pack: Sea's Manaphy for about $17. The median card is $14. The remaining $276 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Ash's Aipom, $50) is 17% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 6% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
The quant read26 recorded points · 25 days
30-day return-3.5%
Realized vol24%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-6.3%recorded window
Off recorded high-6.3%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Movie Commemoration VS Pack: Sea's Manaphy

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −0.5% 30d · −0.5% 90d
2026-09-07$2932026-10-02

Breadth: 4 cards up · 2 down · 9 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Sea's Manaphy (+25.9%).

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