set deskSeptember 2026
Obsidian Flames
Full set$460
Median card$0.18
30 days−5.1%
90 days−15.4%
Top 10 share68%
Priced238
All-time high$5732026-06-17
From that high−19.7%set value today
First recorded$304when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than54%199 of 370 recorded days were cheaper
Ask about Obsidian Flames
Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.
Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.
10 cards · $309other 228 · $151
The short, expensive tail of the set.
| No. | Card | Rarity | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 001/197 | Oddish | Common | $0.13 |
| 002/197 | Gloom | Common | $0.18 |
| 003/197 | Bellossom | Uncommon | $0.29 |
| 004/197 | Scyther | Common | $0.23 |
| 005/197 | Shuckle | Common | $0.23 |
| 006/197 | Surskit | Common | $0.09 |
| 007/197 | Masquerain | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 008/197 | Combee | Common | $0.09 |
| 009/197 | Foongus | Common | $0.11 |
| 010/197 | Amoonguss | Uncommon | $0.18 |
| 011/197 | Phantump | Common | $0.11 |
| 012/197 | Trevenant | Uncommon | $0.10 |
| 013/197 | Rowlet | Common | $0.23 |
| 014/197 | Dartrix | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 015/197 | Decidueye ex | Double rare | $0.95 |
| 016/197 | Bounsweet | Common | $0.09 |
| 017/197 | Steenee | Common | $0.10 |
| 018/197 | Tsareena | Uncommon | $0.17 |
| 019/197 | Smoliv | Common | $0.10 |
| 020/197 | Dolliv | Common | $0.16 |
| 021/197 | Arboliva | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 022/197 | Toedscruel ex | Double rare | $0.82 |
| 023/197 | Capsakid | Common | $0.13 |
| 024/197 | Capsakid | Common | $0.13 |
| 025/197 | Scovillain | Rare | $0.17 |
| 026/197 | Charmander | Common | $0.28 |
| 027/197 | Charmeleon | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 028/197 | Vulpix | Common | $0.16 |
| 029/197 | Ninetales | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 030/197 | Entei | Rare | $0.20 |
| 031/197 | Numel | Common | $0.12 |
| 032/197 | Camerupt | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 033/197 | Victini ex | Double rare | $1.04 |
| 034/197 | Darumaka | Common | $0.10 |
| 035/197 | Darmanitan | Uncommon | $0.10 |
| 036/197 | Litwick | Common | $0.14 |
| 037/197 | Lampent | Common | $0.17 |
| 038/197 | Chandelure | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 039/197 | Heatmor | Common | $0.15 |
| 040/197 | Larvesta | Common | $0.17 |
| 041/197 | Volcarona | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 042/197 | Eiscue ex | Double rare | $0.88 |
| 043/197 | Charcadet | Common | $0.13 |
| 044/197 | Armarouge | Uncommon | $0.17 |
| 045/197 | Lapras | Uncommon | $0.19 |
| 046/197 | Carvanha | Common | $0.16 |
| 047/197 | Sharpedo | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 048/197 | Buizel | Common | $0.14 |
| 049/197 | Floatzel | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 050/197 | Tympole | Common | $0.12 |
| 051/197 | Palpitoad | Common | $0.16 |
| 052/197 | Seismitoad | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 053/197 | Cubchoo | Common | $0.13 |
| 054/197 | Beartic | Uncommon | $0.12 |
| 055/197 | Cryogonal | Common | $0.09 |
| 056/197 | Froakie | Common | $0.13 |
| 057/197 | Frogadier | Uncommon | $0.12 |
| 058/197 | Wiglett | Common | $0.10 |
| 059/197 | Wugtrio | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 060/197 | Finizen | Common | $0.17 |
| 061/197 | Finizen | Common | $0.16 |
| 062/197 | Palafin | Rare | $0.19 |
| 063/197 | Magnemite | Common | $0.06 |
| 064/197 | Magneton | Common | $0.13 |
| 065/197 | Magnezone | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 066/197 | Tyranitar ex | Double rare | $1.51 |
| 067/197 | Tynamo | Common | $0.08 |
| 068/197 | Eelektrik | Common | $0.14 |
| 069/197 | Eelektross | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 070/197 | Thundurus | Rare | $0.12 |
| 071/197 | Toxel | Common | $0.17 |
| 072/197 | Toxtricity | Rare | $0.21 |
| 073/197 | Pawmot ex | Double rare | $0.71 |
| 074/197 | Tadbulb | Common | $0.11 |
| 075/197 | Tadbulb | Common | $0.13 |
| 076/197 | Tadbulb | Common | $0.14 |
| 077/197 | Bellibolt | Uncommon | $0.19 |
| 078/197 | Bellibolt | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 079/197 | Miraidon ex | Double rare | $0.92 |
| 080/197 | Cleffa | Common | $0.30 |
| 081/197 | Clefairy | Common | $0.49 |
| 082/197 | Clefable ex | Double rare | $1.19 |
| 083/197 | Togepi | Common | $0.24 |
| 084/197 | Togetic | Uncommon | $0.18 |
| 085/197 | Togekiss | Rare | $0.23 |
| 086/197 | Espeon | Uncommon | $0.25 |
| 087/197 | Snubbull | Common | $0.13 |
| 088/197 | Granbull | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 089/197 | Mawile | Common | $0.18 |
| 090/197 | Spoink | Common | $0.15 |
| 091/197 | Grumpig | Uncommon | $0.11 |
| 092/197 | Lunatone | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 093/197 | Solrock | Uncommon | $0.12 |
| 094/197 | Baltoy | Common | $0.09 |
| 095/197 | Claydol | Rare | $0.15 |
| 096/197 | Vespiquen ex | Double rare | $0.84 |
| 097/197 | Sinistea | Common | $0.32 |
| 098/197 | Polteageist | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 099/197 | Greavard | Common | $0.13 |
| 100/197 | Greavard | Common | $0.14 |
| 101/197 | Houndstone | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 102/197 | Houndstone ex | Double rare | $1.05 |
| 103/197 | Diglett | Common | $0.17 |
| 104/197 | Dugtrio | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 105/197 | Larvitar | Common | $0.12 |
| 106/197 | Pupitar | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 107/197 | Nosepass | Common | $0.14 |
| 108/197 | Barboach | Common | $0.12 |
| 109/197 | Whiscash | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 110/197 | Bonsly | Common | $0.16 |
| 111/197 | Drilbur | Common | $0.13 |
| 112/197 | Stunfisk | Uncommon | $0.09 |
| 113/197 | Diggersby | Uncommon | $0.05 |
| 114/197 | Crabrawler | Common | $0.15 |
| 115/197 | Crabominable | Uncommon | $0.08 |
| 116/197 | Rockruff | Common | $0.12 |
| 117/197 | Lycanroc | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 118/197 | Toedscool | Common | $0.07 |
| 119/197 | Toedscruel | Uncommon | $0.07 |
| 120/197 | Klawf ex | Double rare | $0.93 |
| 121/197 | Glimmet | Common | $0.14 |
| 122/197 | Glimmet | Common | $0.12 |
| 123/197 | Glimmora ex | Double rare | $0.97 |
| 124/197 | Koraidon ex | Double rare | $0.80 |
| 125/197 | Charizard ex | Double rare | $5.47 |
| 126/197 | Paldean Wooper | Common | $0.20 |
| 127/197 | Paldean Wooper | Common | $0.17 |
| 128/197 | Paldean Clodsire | Uncommon | $0.23 |
| 129/197 | Paldean Clodsire | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 130/197 | Umbreon | Uncommon | $0.36 |
| 131/197 | Houndour | Common | $0.12 |
| 132/197 | Houndour | Common | $0.13 |
| 133/197 | Houndoom | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 134/197 | Houndoom ex | Double rare | $1.11 |
| 135/197 | Absol ex | Double rare | $1.28 |
| 136/197 | Darkrai | Rare | $0.16 |
| 137/197 | Inkay | Common | $0.13 |
| 138/197 | Malamar | Uncommon | $0.11 |
| 139/197 | Salandit | Common | $0.12 |
| 140/197 | Salazzle | Uncommon | $0.11 |
| 141/197 | Scizor | Rare | $0.21 |
| 142/197 | Skarmory | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 143/197 | Mawile | Uncommon | $0.19 |
| 144/197 | Bronzor | Common | $0.21 |
| 145/197 | Bronzong | Uncommon | $0.09 |
| 146/197 | Probopass | Uncommon | $0.12 |
| 147/197 | Excadrill | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 148/197 | Pawniard | Common | $0.08 |
| 149/197 | Bisharp | Common | $0.11 |
| 150/197 | Kingambit | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 151/197 | Togedemaru | Common | $0.14 |
| 152/197 | Meltan | Common | $0.09 |
| 153/197 | Melmetal ex | Double rare | $1.05 |
| 154/197 | Varoom | Common | $0.12 |
| 155/197 | Varoom | Common | $0.13 |
| 156/197 | Revavroom ex | Double rare | $0.73 |
| 157/197 | Dratini | Common | $0.20 |
| 158/197 | Dragonair | Uncommon | $0.22 |
| 159/197 | Dragonite ex | Double rare | $3.31 |
| 160/197 | Altaria | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 161/197 | Drampa | Uncommon | $0.20 |
| 162/197 | Pidgey | Common | $0.19 |
| 163/197 | Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $0.24 |
| 164/197 | Pidgeot ex | Double rare | $1.30 |
| 165/197 | Kangaskhan | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 166/197 | Eevee | Common | $0.34 |
| 167/197 | Zigzagoon | Common | $0.14 |
| 168/197 | Linoone | Uncommon | $0.13 |
| 169/197 | Swablu | Common | $0.14 |
| 170/197 | Lillipup | Common | $0.16 |
| 171/197 | Herdier | Common | $0.12 |
| 172/197 | Stoutland | Uncommon | $0.23 |
| 173/197 | Audino | Common | $0.20 |
| 174/197 | Bouffalant | Uncommon | $0.11 |
| 175/197 | Bunnelby | Common | $0.11 |
| 176/197 | Yungoos | Common | $0.12 |
| 177/197 | Gumshoos | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 178/197 | Skwovet | Common | $0.18 |
| 179/197 | Greedent ex | Double rare | $0.84 |
| 180/197 | Lechonk | Common | $0.26 |
| 181/197 | Lechonk | Common | $0.19 |
| 182/197 | Lechonk | Common | $0.13 |
| 183/197 | Oinkologne | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 184/197 | Oinkologne | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 185/197 | Flamigo | Uncommon | $0.11 |
| 186/197 | Arven | Uncommon | $0.29 |
| 187/197 | Brassius | Uncommon | $0.14 |
| 188/197 | Geeta | Rare | $0.19 |
| 189/197 | Letter of Encouragement | Uncommon | $0.18 |
| 190/197 | Ortega | Uncommon | $0.19 |
| 191/197 | Patrol Cap | Uncommon | $0.15 |
| 192/197 | Pokémon League Headquarters | Uncommon | $0.21 |
| 193/197 | Poppy | Uncommon | $0.17 |
| 194/197 | Ryme | Common | $0.17 |
| 195/197 | Team Star Grunt | Uncommon | $0.16 |
| 196/197 | Town Store | Common | $0.25 |
| 197/197 | Vengeful Punch | Uncommon | $0.19 |
| 198/197 | Gloom | Illustration rare | $22.13 |
| 199/197 | Ninetales | Illustration rare | $32.90 |
| 200/197 | Palafin | Illustration rare | $5.13 |
| 201/197 | Bellibolt | Illustration rare | $5.84 |
| 202/197 | Cleffa | Illustration rare | $36.49 |
| 203/197 | Larvitar | Illustration rare | $5.74 |
| 204/197 | Houndour | Illustration rare | $10.80 |
| 205/197 | Scizor | Illustration rare | $14.25 |
| 206/197 | Varoom | Illustration rare | $2.90 |
| 207/197 | Pidgey | Illustration rare | $14.38 |
| 208/197 | Pidgeotto | Illustration rare | $11.78 |
| 209/197 | Lechonk | Illustration rare | $13.42 |
| 210/197 | Eiscue ex | Ultra Rare | $1.71 |
| 211/197 | Tyranitar ex | Ultra Rare | $5.23 |
| 212/197 | Vespiquen ex | Ultra Rare | $1.41 |
| 213/197 | Glimmora ex | Ultra Rare | $1.15 |
| 214/197 | Absol ex | Ultra Rare | $2.61 |
| 215/197 | Charizard ex | Ultra Rare | $21.09 |
| 216/197 | Revavroom ex | Ultra Rare | $0.81 |
| 217/197 | Pidgeot ex | Ultra Rare | $1.86 |
| 218/197 | Geeta | Ultra Rare | $1.25 |
| 219/197 | Ortega | Ultra Rare | $1.12 |
| 220/197 | Poppy | Ultra Rare | $1.21 |
| 221/197 | Ryme | Ultra Rare | $1.09 |
| 222/197 | Eiscue ex | Special illustration rare | $6.06 |
| 223/197 | Charizard ex | Special illustration rare | $98.72 |
| 224/197 | Revavroom ex | Special illustration rare | $5.27 |
| 225/197 | Pidgeot ex | Special illustration rare | $19.27 |
| 226/197 | Geeta | Special illustration rare | $3.46 |
| 227/197 | Poppy | Special illustration rare | $2.95 |
| 228/197 | Charizard ex | Hyper rare | $33.57 |
| 229/197 | Artazon | Hyper rare | $1.33 |
| 230/197 | Basic Fire Energy | Hyper rare | $3.60 |
Every Obsidian Flames card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.
You can own 228 of the 238 priced cards in Obsidian Flames for about $151. The median card is $0.18. The remaining $309 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Charizard ex - 223/197, $99) is 22% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 32% and then a very short, very expensive tail.
chase card · Charizard ex - 223/197$98.72
sealed booster box · Obsidian Flames$372.87
the card26.5% of the box
CHEAPER THAN THE BOX
The single most valuable card in this set costs $274.15 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-25.
Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.
30-day return-4.9%
90-day return-14.8%
Realized vol8%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-37.4%recorded window
Off recorded high-19.7%
Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.
The chase, priced in packsCharizard ex ($98.72) lands about once per 192 packs · ~5.3 booster boxes · $1,989 of packs at today's box price
| Tier | Odds per pack | Cards in tier | Expected per box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double rare (ex) | 1 in 7 | 21 | 5.14 |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1 in 15 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Illustration rare | 1 in 13 | 12 | 2.77 |
| Special illustration rare | 1 in 32 | 6 | 1.13 |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1 in 52 | 3 | 0.69 |
Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.
Cheapest recorded route to packsObsidian Flames Booster Box $10.36/pack
Biggest 30-day moveObsidian Flames Sleeved Booster Pack +15.1%
Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes
Should you rip Obsidian Flames?
0.3%
of boxes beat the $373 box price
We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Obsidian Flames using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($373, $10.35/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 39.4% of the box ask on average.
Median box
$134
Expected value
$147
Bottom 5%
$78
Top 5%
$254
Where 10,000 boxes landed
3.5%$0-75
57.6%$75-150
29.0%$150-225
8.1%$225-300
1.5%$300-375
0.2%$375-450
0.0%$450-525
Red buckets end below the $373 box price. 78.5% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
| Hit tier | Published rate | Pool | Avg / box | Mean value | Best case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration rare | 1-in-13 | 12 | 2.77 | $14.95 | Cleffa ($36) |
| Special illustration rare | 1-in-32 | 6 | 1.13 | $22.74 | Charizard ex ($99) |
| Hyper rare (gold) | 1-in-52 | 3 | 0.7 | $12.63 | Charizard ex ($33) |
| Ultra rare (full art) | 1-in-15 | 12 | 2.4 | $3.38 | Charizard ex ($21) |
| Double rare (ex) | 1-in-7 | 21 | 5.11 | $1.33 | Charizard ex ($6) |
Not simulated. ACE SPEC rare: rated at 1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighbouring tier.
Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $373 box price (Obsidian Flames Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 25.3% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $55 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (230 of 230 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.
Breadth: 128 cards up · 78 down · 32 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Geeta - 226/197 (+12.0%).