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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Scarlet & Violet

258 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-24
Full set$770
Median card$0.16
30 days−1.3%
90 days−13.9%
Top 10 share50%
Priced273

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history332 recorded readings
All-time high$9092026-06-15
From that high−15.2%set value today
First recorded$547when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than66%220 of 332 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Scarlet & Violet

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 50% of the bill
10 cards · $384other 263 · $386

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$71.38
Gardevoir ex - 245/19801
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
−2.4% 30d
$59.84
Drowzee - 210/19802
Drowzee - 210/198
+1.0% 30d
$44.36
Ralts - 211/19803
Ralts - 211/198
+2.7% 30d
$40.79
Kirlia - 212/19804
Kirlia - 212/198
−6.9% 30d
$39.62
Slowpoke - 204/19805
Slowpoke - 204/198
+1.7% 30d
$33.29
Riolu - 215/19806
Riolu - 215/198
+0.8% 30d
$24.65
Miraidon ex - 244/19807
Miraidon ex - 244/198
+2.2% 30d
$24.38
Fidough - 213/19808
Fidough - 213/198
−9.5% 30d
$23.08
Koraidon ex - 247/19809
Koraidon ex - 247/198
+0.8% 30d
$23.02
Miriam - 251/19810
Miriam - 251/198
−2.0% 30d
Every card258 cards · 258 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
001/198PinecoCommon$0.12
002/198HeracrossUncommon$0.10
003/198ShroomishCommon$0.10
004/198BreloomUncommon$0.16
005/198CacneaCommon$0.18
006/198CacturneUncommon$0.05
007/198TropiusCommon$0.10
008/198ScatterbugCommon$0.13
009/198SpewpaCommon$0.11
010/198VivillonUncommon$0.12
011/198SkiddoCommon$0.11
012/198GogoatCommon$0.14
013/198SprigatitoCommon$0.21
014/198FloragatoUncommon$0.15
015/198MeowscaradaRare$0.24
016/198TarountulaCommon$0.15
017/198TarountulaCommon$0.08
018/198TarountulaCommon$0.11
019/198Spidops exDouble rare$0.65
020/198SmolivCommon$0.16
021/198SmolivCommon$0.13
022/198DollivCommon$0.12
023/198ArbolivaRare$0.17
024/198ToedscoolCommon$0.16
025/198ToedscoolCommon$0.12
026/198ToedscruelUncommon$0.08
027/198CapsakidCommon$0.13
028/198CapsakidCommon$0.23
029/198ScovillainUncommon$0.12
030/198GrowlitheCommon$0.17
031/198GrowlitheCommon$0.20
032/198Arcanine exDouble rare$1.18
033/198HoundourCommon$0.09
034/198HoundoomCommon$0.15
035/198TorkoalUncommon$0.11
036/198FuecocoCommon$0.12
037/198CrocalorUncommon$0.10
038/198SkeledirgeRare$0.20
039/198CharcadetCommon$0.12
040/198CharcadetCommon$0.13
041/198ArmarougeRare$0.21
042/198SlowpokeCommon$0.17
043/198SlowbroRare$0.36
044/198MagikarpCommon$0.18
045/198Gyarados exDouble rare$1.66
046/198BuizelCommon$0.11
047/198FloatzelUncommon$0.10
048/198AlomomolaCommon$0.17
049/198ClauncherCommon$0.07
050/198ClawitzerCommon$0.10
051/198BruxishCommon$0.12
052/198QuaxlyCommon$0.10
053/198QuaxwellUncommon$0.10
054/198QuaquavalRare$0.17
055/198WiglettCommon$0.11
056/198WiglettCommon$0.14
057/198WugtrioUncommon$0.14
058/198CetoddleCommon$0.08
059/198CetoddleCommon$0.10
060/198CetitanUncommon$0.06
061/198DondozoRare$0.21
062/198TatsugiriUncommon$0.17
063/198MagnemiteCommon$0.09
064/198MagnetonCommon$0.14
065/198Magnezone exDouble rare$0.69
066/198MareepCommon$0.17
067/198FlaaffyUncommon$0.14
068/198PachirisuUncommon$0.10
069/198RotomCommon$0.14
070/198RotomCommon$0.14
071/198ToxelCommon$0.13
072/198ToxtricityUncommon$0.12
073/198PawmiCommon$0.12
074/198PawmiCommon$0.13
075/198PawmoCommon$0.12
076/198PawmotRare$0.17
077/198WattrelCommon$0.14
078/198WattrelCommon$0.08
079/198KilowattrelUncommon$0.10
080/198MiraidonRare$0.14
081/198Miraidon exDouble rare$0.62
082/198DrowzeeCommon$0.12
083/198HypnoUncommon$0.12
084/198RaltsCommon$0.15
085/198KirliaCommon$0.11
086/198Gardevoir exDouble rare$0.84
087/198ShuppetCommon$0.12
088/198Banette exDouble rare$0.69
089/198DrifloonCommon$0.14
090/198DrifblimUncommon$0.09
091/198FlabébéCommon$0.07
092/198FloetteCommon$0.12
093/198FlorgesUncommon$0.18
094/198DedenneCommon$0.16
095/198DedenneCommon$0.18
096/198KlefkiRare$0.26
097/198FidoughCommon$0.15
098/198FidoughCommon$0.16
099/198DachsbunUncommon$0.17
100/198FlittleCommon$0.08
101/198FlittleCommon$0.10
102/198FlittleCommon$0.09
103/198EspathraUncommon$0.11
104/198GreavardCommon$0.09
105/198GreavardCommon$0.11
106/198HoundstoneRare$0.13
107/198MankeyCommon$0.14
108/198PrimeapeCommon$0.10
109/198AnnihilapeRare$0.14
110/198MedititeCommon$0.15
111/198MedichamUncommon$0.12
112/198RioluCommon$0.19
113/198RioluCommon$0.16
114/198LucarioUncommon$0.20
115/198SandileCommon$0.14
116/198KrokorokCommon$0.10
117/198KrookodileUncommon$0.14
118/198HawluchaRare$0.29
119/198SilicobraCommon$0.09
120/198SandacondaUncommon$0.09
121/198StonjournerUncommon$0.19
122/198KlawfRare$0.12
123/198Great Tusk exDouble rare$0.82
124/198KoraidonRare$0.18
125/198Koraidon exDouble rare$0.65
126/198GrimerCommon$0.16
127/198MukUncommon$0.14
128/198SeviperCommon$0.08
129/198SpiritombUncommon$0.08
130/198CroagunkCommon$0.08
131/198Toxicroak exDouble rare$0.58
132/198PawniardCommon$0.16
133/198BisharpCommon$0.10
134/198KingambitRare$0.18
135/198MaschiffCommon$0.12
136/198MaschiffCommon$0.11
137/198MabosstiffUncommon$0.09
138/198BombirdierUncommon$0.07
139/198ForretressUncommon$0.13
140/198VaroomCommon$0.06
141/198VaroomCommon$0.10
142/198RevavroomRare$0.15
143/198Iron Treads exDouble rare$0.56
144/198ChanseyCommon$0.14
145/198BlisseyUncommon$0.20
146/198ZangooseCommon$0.15
147/198ZangooseUncommon$0.17
148/198StarlyCommon$0.23
149/198StaraviaCommon$0.09
150/198StaraptorUncommon$0.12
151/198SkwovetCommon$0.23
152/198GreedentUncommon$0.11
153/198IndeedeeRare$0.19
154/198LechonkCommon$0.12
155/198LechonkCommon$0.14
156/198LechonkCommon$0.09
157/198OinkologneUncommon$0.10
158/198Oinkologne exDouble rare$0.65
159/198TandemausCommon$0.26
160/198TandemausCommon$0.23
161/198MausholdUncommon$0.18
162/198SquawkabillyCommon$0.14
163/198CyclizarUncommon$0.09
164/198CyclizarRare$0.13
165/198FlamigoUncommon$0.17
166/198ArvenUncommon$0.32
167/198Beach CourtUncommon$0.13
168/198Crushing HammerCommon$0.23
169/198Defiance BandUncommon$0.28
170/198Electric GeneratorUncommon$0.16
171/198Energy RetrievalCommon$0.23
172/198Energy SearchCommon$0.22
173/198Energy SwitchCommon$0.22
174/198Exp. ShareUncommon$0.24
175/198JacqUncommon$0.18
176/198JudgeUncommon$0.20
177/198KatyUncommon$0.10
178/198MesagozaUncommon$0.12
179/198MiriamUncommon$0.12
180/198NemonaCommon$0.12
181/198Nest BallUncommon$0.26
182/198Pal PadCommon$0.27
183/198PennyUncommon$0.19
184/198Picnic BasketUncommon$0.15
185/198Poké BallCommon$0.14
186/198Pokégear 3.0Common$0.34
187/198Pokémon CatcherCommon$0.23
188/198PotionCommon$0.12
189/198Professor's ResearchRare$0.19
190/198Professor's ResearchRare$0.17
191/198Rare CandyCommon$0.22
192/198Rock ChestplateUncommon$0.18
193/198Rocky HelmetUncommon$0.15
194/198SwitchCommon$0.21
195/198Team Star GruntUncommon$0.13
196/198Ultra BallUncommon$0.18
197/198Vitality BandUncommon$0.13
198/198YoungsterUncommon$0.10
199/198TarountulaIllustration rare$13.48
200/198DollivIllustration rare$7.81
201/198ToedscoolIllustration rare$5.30
202/198ScovillainIllustration rare$6.44
203/198ArmarougeIllustration rare$14.41
204/198SlowpokeIllustration rare$39.24
205/198ClauncherIllustration rare$8.30
206/198WiglettIllustration rare$22.24
207/198DondozoIllustration rare$15.34
208/198PachirisuIllustration rare$18.05
209/198PawmotIllustration rare$10.93
210/198DrowzeeIllustration rare$57.77
211/198RaltsIllustration rare$44.76
212/198KirliaIllustration rare$39.49
213/198FidoughIllustration rare$24.99
214/198GreavardIllustration rare$21.40
215/198RioluIllustration rare$33.43
216/198SandileIllustration rare$6.05
217/198KlawfIllustration rare$5.01
218/198MabosstiffIllustration rare$8.87
219/198BombirdierIllustration rare$5.88
220/198KingambitIllustration rare$9.95
221/198StarlyIllustration rare$15.88
222/198SkwovetIllustration rare$9.02
223/198Spidops exUltra Rare$1.05
224/198Arcanine exUltra Rare$14.20
225/198Gyarados exUltra Rare$10.38
226/198Magnezone exUltra Rare$1.41
227/198Miraidon exUltra Rare$2.63
228/198Gardevoir exUltra Rare$5.26
229/198Banette exUltra Rare$1.87
230/198Great Tusk exUltra Rare$1.27
231/198Koraidon exUltra Rare$2.04
232/198Toxicroak exUltra Rare$1.50
233/198Iron Treads exUltra Rare$1.07
234/198Oinkologne exUltra Rare$1.22
235/198ArvenUltra Rare$2.64
236/198JacqUltra Rare$1.68
237/198KatyUltra Rare$1.75
238/198MiriamUltra Rare$5.33
239/198PennyUltra Rare$3.34
240/198Professor's ResearchUltra Rare$2.67
241/198Professor's ResearchUltra Rare$1.45
242/198Team Star GruntUltra Rare$1.52
243/198Spidops exSpecial illustration rare$8.92
244/198Miraidon exSpecial illustration rare$23.91
245/198Gardevoir exSpecial illustration rare$70.04
246/198Great Tusk exSpecial illustration rare$12.46
247/198Koraidon exSpecial illustration rare$23.60
248/198Iron Treads exSpecial illustration rare$4.72
249/198ArvenSpecial illustration rare$4.87
250/198JacqSpecial illustration rare$4.09
251/198MiriamSpecial illustration rare$22.90
252/198PennySpecial illustration rare$5.92
253/198Miraidon exHyper rare$7.90
254/198Koraidon exHyper rare$5.86
255/198Nest BallHyper rare$3.58
256/198Rare CandyHyper rare$5.45
257/198Basic Lightning EnergyHyper rare$3.38
258/198Basic Fighting EnergyHyper rare$5.93

Every Scarlet & Violet card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 263 of the 273 priced cards in Scarlet & Violet for about $386. The median card is $0.16. The remaining $384 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Gardevoir ex - 245/198, $71) is 9% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 50% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−76.3% vs the box
chase card · Gardevoir ex - 245/198$70.04
sealed booster box · Scarlet & Violet$295.43
the card23.7% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $225.39 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-24.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read332 recorded points · 605 days
30-day return-0.6%
90-day return-13.7%
Realized vol6%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-35.5%recorded window
Off recorded high-15.2%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Pull ratesmeasured
The chase, priced in packsGardevoir ex ($70.04) lands about once per 318 packs · ~8.8 booster boxes · $2,610 of packs at today's box price
TierOdds per packCards in tierExpected per box
Double rare (ex)1 in 7125.14
Ultra rare (full art)1 in 15202.4
Illustration rare1 in 13242.77
Special illustration rare1 in 32101.13
Hyper rare (gold)1 in 5460.67

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

Rip or hold
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Scarlet & Violet?

0.4%
of boxes beat the $295 box price

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Scarlet & Violet using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($295, $8.21/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 46.6% of the box ask on average.

Median box
$130
Expected value
$138
Bottom 5%
$74
Top 5%
$225
Where 10,000 boxes landed
0.0%
$0-50
22.5%
$50-100
42.8%
$100-150
24.4%
$150-200
8.0%
$200-250
2.0%
$250-300
0.3%
$300-350
0.0%
$350-400
Red buckets end below the $295 box price. 63.6% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
Hit tierPublished ratePoolAvg / boxMean valueBest case
Illustration rare1-in-13242.75$18.57Drowzee ($59)
Special illustration rare1-in-32101.14$18.27Gardevoir ex ($71)
Ultra rare (full art)1-in-15202.4$3.20Arcanine ex ($14)
Double rare (ex)1-in-7125.15$0.80Gyarados ex ($2)
Hyper rare (gold)1-in-5460.67$5.37Miraidon ex ($8)
Not simulated. ACE SPEC rare: rated at 1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighbouring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $295 box price (Scarlet & Violet Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: all 5 rates were measured on this set's own packs (pokemonplug.com, not stated in accessible copy (TCGplayer Authentication Center data; their SV-era studies are typically 8,000+ packs)). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 17.7% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $51 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (258 of 258 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −1.3% 30d · −13.9% 90d
2025-01-27$7702026-09-24

Breadth: 116 cards up · 101 down · 56 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Arven - 235/198 (+13.5%).

Every Pokémon setScarlet & Violet market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesPulling the Chase Costs 6x to 86x More Than Buying ItThe Big Hit Went From One Per Box to One Every Third BoxThe Trainer Box That Costs More Than Its Booster BoxThe Same Pack Costs 40% More If You Buy Six of Them