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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Sm - Lost Thunder

english printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-28
Full set$2,778
Median card$0.81
30 days+3.6%
90 days+8.8%
Top 10 share53%
Priced241

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history354 recorded readings
All-time high$2,7782026-09-28
From that high+0.0%set value today
First recorded$1,029when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than100%353 of 354 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Sm - Lost Thunder

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 53% of the bill
10 cards · $1,439other 231 · $1,339

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$298
Mimikyu GX (Secret)01
Mimikyu GX (Secret)
+16.2% 30d
$240
Lugia GX (Secret)02
Lugia GX (Secret)
+0.0% 30d
$170
Professor Elm's Lecture (Full Art)03
Professor Elm's Lecture (Full Art)
+3.6% 30d
$121
Mimikyu GX (Full Art)04
Mimikyu GX (Full Art)
+9.9% 30d
$113
Lugia GX (Full Art)05
Lugia GX (Full Art)
+0.3% 30d
$105
Shuckle GX (Secret)06
Shuckle GX (Secret)
+1.3% 30d
$105
Tyranitar GX (Secret)07
Tyranitar GX (Secret)
+2.0% 30d
$103
Suicune GX (Secret)08
Suicune GX (Secret)
+0.6% 30d
$91.97
Whitney (Full Art)09
Whitney (Full Art)
+2.3% 30d
$91.79
Alolan Ninetales GX (Secret)10
Alolan Ninetales GX (Secret)
+2.8% 30d
If you are building it

You can own 231 of the 241 priced cards in Sm - Lost Thunder for about $1,339. The median card is $0.81. The remaining $1,439 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Mimikyu GX (Secret), $298) is 11% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 47% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−81.5% vs the box
chase card · Mimikyu GX (Secret)$290.82
sealed booster box · Sm - Lost Thunder$1,568.33
the card18.5% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $1,277.51 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-27.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read354 recorded points · 609 days
30-day return+3.5%
90-day return+8.8%
Realized vol4%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-0.0%recorded window

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

The product desk13 products · 2 lots
Cheapest recorded route to packsLost Thunder Booster Box $43.56/pack
Biggest 30-day moveLost Thunder Booster Box +6.3%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01Lost Thunder Booster Box$1,568.33Booster Box36$43.56+6.3%
02Lost Thunder Elite Trainer Box$681.55Elite Trainer Box··0.0%
03Vaporeon GX Special Collection$599.99Collection··0.0%
04Island Guardians GX Premium Collection$370.96Premium Collection···
05Island Guardians GX Premium Pin Collection$370.00Collection···
06Fall 2018 Collector Chest$300.00Product··0.0%
07Jolteon GX Special Collection$240.00Collection···
08Lost Thunder 3 Pack Blister [Altaria]$210.00Blister··0.0%
09Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box$189.23Build & Battle··+3.8%
10Lost Thunder Single Pack Blister [Rowlett]$60.00Blister···
11Lost Thunder Booster Pack$59.36Booster Pack1$59.36+1.5%
12Lost Thunder Theme Deck - "Blazing Volcano" [Entei]$34.94Deck··−0.2%
13Lost Thunder Theme Deck - "Storm Caller" [Raikou]$28.99Deck··0.0%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Lost Thunder Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$199.99Booster Packlot···
Lost Thunder Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$199.48Booster Packlot···

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Sm - Lost Thunder

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · +3.6% 30d · +8.8% 90d
2025-01-27$2,7782026-09-28

Breadth: 98 cards up · 48 down · 95 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Gardevoir (+255.7%).

Every Pokémon setSm - Lost Thunder market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesAre Pokémon Cards a Good Investment?The Species Premium: What a Pokemon Name Is WorthThe Chase Card Is a Secret Rare 61% of the TimeThe Grading Frontier: The 10 Pays, the 9 Decides