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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Sm - Ultra Prism

english printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-25
Full set$2,265
Median card$0.43
30 days+1.5%
90 days+8.6%
Top 10 share62%
Priced177

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history352 recorded readings
All-time high$2,2652026-09-24
From that high+0.0%set value today
First recorded$1,429when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than99%350 of 352 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Sm - Ultra Prism

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 62% of the bill
10 cards · $1,373other 167 · $892

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$469
Lillie (Full Art)01
Lillie (Full Art)
−0.1% 30d
$246
Cynthia (Full Art)02
Cynthia (Full Art)
−0.8% 30d
$164
Lusamine (Full Art)03
Lusamine (Full Art)
+0.9% 30d
$92.21
Leafeon GX (Secret Rare)04
Leafeon GX (Secret Rare)
+1.2% 30d
$85.94
Glaceon GX (Secret Rare)05
Glaceon GX (Secret Rare)
+1.6% 30d
$73.49
Crushing Hammer (Secret Rare)06
Crushing Hammer (Secret Rare)
+8.6% 30d
$67.79
Lunala GX (Secret Rare)07
Lunala GX (Secret Rare)
+5.0% 30d
$60.88
Solgaleo GX (Secret Rare)08
Solgaleo GX (Secret Rare)
+6.8% 30d
$57.28
Gardenia (Full Art)09
Gardenia (Full Art)
+8.0% 30d
$56.78
Mars (Full Art)10
Mars (Full Art)
−1.6% 30d
If you are building it

You can own 167 of the 177 priced cards in Sm - Ultra Prism for about $892. The median card is $0.43. The remaining $1,373 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Lillie (Full Art), $469) is 21% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 38% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−67.7% vs the box
chase card · Lillie (Full Art)$468.7
sealed booster box · Sm - Ultra Prism$1,450
the card32.3% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $981.3 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-26.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read352 recorded points · 606 days
30-day return+1.3%
90-day return+8.6%
Realized vol4%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-4.1%recorded window

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

The product desk16 products · 1 lot
Cheapest recorded route to packsUltra Prism Booster Box $40.28/pack
Biggest 30-day moveUltra Prism Single Pack Blister [Kirlia] +7.5%
ProductPriceFamilyPacks$/pack30d
01Ultra Prism Booster Box$1,450.00Booster Box36$40.28−0.9%
02Ultra Prism Elite Trainer Box [Dusk Mane Necrozma]$741.96Elite Trainer Box··+1.8%
03Ultra Prism Elite Trainer Box [Dawn Wings Necrozma]$711.99Elite Trainer Box··0.0%
04Ultra Prism Prerelease Kit$344.99Product···
05Legends of Johto GX Premium Collection Box$323.92Premium Collection··−0.3%
06Necrozma Prism Tin [Dusk Mane Necrozma GX]$262.00Tin··0.0%
07Charmander Sidekick Collection$250.00Collection···
08Spring 2018 Collector's Chest Tin$250.00Tin···
09Ultra Prism 3 Pack Blister [Alolan Vulpix]$152.49Blister···
10Ultra Prism 3 Pack Blister [Porygon-Z]$141.46Blister··0.0%
11Ultra Prism 3 Pack Hanger Box$139.98Hanger Box··0.0%
12Ultra Prism Single Pack Blister [Kirlia]$92.95Blister··+7.5%
13Ultra Prism Single Pack Blister [Alolan Sandshrew]$80.00Blister··0.0%
14Ultra Prism Booster Pack$49.67Booster Pack1$49.67+6.0%
15Ultra Prism Theme Deck - "Imperial Command" [Empoleon]$39.95Deck··0.0%
16Ultra Prism Theme Deck - "Mach Strike" [Garchomp]$39.33Deck··0.0%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
Ultra Prism Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$199.99Booster Packlot···

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Sm - Ultra Prism

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · +1.5% 30d · +8.6% 90d
2025-01-27$2,2652026-09-25

Breadth: 64 cards up · 45 down · 68 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Torterra (+105.8%).

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