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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Sv: Scarlet & Violet 151

english printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-24
Full set$1,876
Median card$0.21
30 days−4.9%
90 days−19.3%
Top 10 share62%
Priced215

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history332 recorded readings
All-time high$2,4732026-06-12
From that high−24.1%set value today
First recorded$1,293when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than50%166 of 332 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Sv: Scarlet & Violet 151

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 62% of the bill
10 cards · $1,178other 205 · $698

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$358
Charizard ex - 199/16501
Charizard ex - 199/165
−5.2% 30d
$134
Blastoise ex - 200/16502
Blastoise ex - 200/165
−2.8% 30d
$114
Venusaur ex - 198/16503
Venusaur ex - 198/165
−6.4% 30d
$95.04
Charmander - 168/16504
Charmander - 168/165
−1.4% 30d
$91.03
Squirtle - 170/16505
Squirtle - 170/165
−7.1% 30d
$88.64
Zapdos ex - 202/16506
Zapdos ex - 202/165
−7.3% 30d
$80.71
Pikachu - 173/16507
Pikachu - 173/165
−8.7% 30d
$79.14
Bulbasaur - 166/16508
Bulbasaur - 166/165
−2.1% 30d
$74.5
Alakazam ex - 201/16509
Alakazam ex - 201/165
+4.5% 30d
$62.45
Psyduck - 175/16510
Psyduck - 175/165
−7.5% 30d
If you are building it

You can own 205 of the 215 priced cards in Sv: Scarlet & Violet 151 for about $698. The median card is $0.21. The remaining $1,178 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Charizard ex - 199/165, $358) is 19% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 38% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
The quant read332 recorded points · 605 days
30-day return-3.6%
90-day return-18.5%
Realized vol9%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-38.7%recorded window
Off recorded high-24.1%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Pull ratesmeasured
The chase, priced in packsCharizard ex ($353.02) lands about once per 225 packs · ~6.3 booster boxes
TierOdds per packCards in tierExpected per box
Double rare (ex)1 in 8124.5
Ultra rare (full art)1 in 16162.25
Illustration rare1 in 12163
Special illustration rare1 in 3271.13
Hyper rare (gold)1 in 5130.71

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (1,500+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

Rip or hold
Rip report

No rip report for Sv: Scarlet & Violet 151

No published pull-rate study exists for this set, so there is nothing honest to simulate. We only rip sets whose per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study, and an inherited or inferred rate would put an invented number under every figure on this panel.

We publish a rip simulation only where per-pack odds come from a published, sourced study. Which sets have published pull rates counts what exists: 31 of the 110 English sets sold in booster packs, resting on eleven studies.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −4.9% 30d · −19.3% 90d
2025-01-27$1,8762026-09-24

Breadth: 80 cards up · 112 down · 23 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Switch - 206/165 (+12.2%).

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