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moonstone is independent research and market data, not financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prices are real recorded transactions and live market data, USD only. Collectibles are speculative, illiquid, and volatile and can lose value; past performance is not indicative of future results. See the full disclaimer. Pokémon and its trademarks are the property of their respective owners; moonstone is not affiliated with or endorsed by Nintendo, Creatures, Game Freak, or The Pokémon Company.

set deskSeptember 2026

Sword & Shield

216 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-25
Full set$551
Median card$0.22
30 days−0.2%
90 days−1.2%
Top 10 share64%
Priced235

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history349 recorded readings
All-time high$5802026-07-21
From that high−5.0%set value today
First recorded$285when we started tracking, not a release
Dearer than82%285 of 349 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Sword & Shield

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 64% of the bill
10 cards · $351other 225 · $200

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price
$104
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)01
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
−3.4% 30d
$59.79
Snorlax VMAX02
Snorlax VMAX
+8.2% 30d
$35.16
Marnie (Full Art)03
Marnie (Full Art)
+3.2% 30d
$34.48
Snorlax V (Full Art)04
Snorlax V (Full Art)
−2.9% 30d
$25.87
Morpeko VMAX (Secret)05
Morpeko VMAX (Secret)
+3.8% 30d
$21.27
Lapras VMAX (Secret)06
Lapras VMAX (Secret)
+5.9% 30d
$21.19
Zacian V (Secret)07
Zacian V (Secret)
+4.7% 30d
$20.64
Marnie (Secret)08
Marnie (Secret)
−6.3% 30d
$14.14
Morpeko V (Full Art)09
Morpeko V (Full Art)
−0.8% 30d
$13.87
Zamazenta V (Secret)10
Zamazenta V (Secret)
−5.2% 30d
Every card216 cards · 216 priced
No.CardRarityMarket
1/202Celebi VHolo Rare V$2.04
2/202RoseliaCommon$0.15
3/202RoseliaCommon$0.10
4/202RoseradeRare$0.29
5/202CottoneeCommon$0.08
6/202WhimsicottRare$0.28
7/202MaractusCommon$0.19
8/202DurantRare$0.06
9/202Dhelmise VHolo Rare V$0.86
10/202GrookeyCommon$0.13
11/202GrookeyCommon$0.17
12/202ThwackeyUncommon$0.08
13/202ThwackeyUncommon$0.05
14/202RillaboomHolo Rare$0.30
15/202RillaboomRare$0.33
16/202BlipbugCommon$0.02
17/202BlipbugCommon$0.13
18/202DottlerUncommon$0.09
19/202OrbeetleRare$0.11
20/202GossifleurCommon$0.19
21/202EldegossUncommon$0.03
22/202VulpixCommon$0.24
23/202NinetalesRare$0.45
24/202Torkoal VHolo Rare V$1.00
25/202Victini VHolo Rare V$1.16
26/202HeatmorUncommon$0.05
27/202SalanditCommon$0.04
28/202SalazzleUncommon$0.20
29/202TurtonatorRare$0.22
30/202ScorbunnyCommon$0.15
31/202ScorbunnyCommon$0.02
32/202RabootUncommon$0.23
33/202RabootUncommon$0.11
34/202CinderaceHolo Rare VMAX$0.31
35/202CinderaceHolo Rare VMAX$0.45
36/202CinderaceRare$0.29
37/202SizzlipedeCommon$0.12
38/202SizzlipedeCommon$0.06
39/202CentiskorchRare$0.28
40/202ShellderCommon$0.06
41/202CloysterRare$0.25
42/202KrabbyCommon$0.17
43/202KrabbyCommon$0.08
44/202KinglerUncommon$0.21
45/202GoldeenCommon$0.07
46/202GoldeenCommon$0.08
47/202SeakingUncommon$0.07
48/202LaprasRare$0.28
49/202Lapras VHolo Rare V$2.93
50/202Lapras VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$5.77
51/202QwilfishUncommon$0.05
52/202MantineUncommon$0.23
53/202Keldeo VHolo Rare V$1.23
54/202SobbleCommon$0.07
55/202SobbleCommon$0.05
56/202DrizzileUncommon$0.37
57/202DrizzileUncommon$0.20
58/202InteleonHolo Rare$0.56
59/202InteleonRare$0.35
60/202ChewtleCommon$0.13
61/202DrednawRare$0.22
62/202CramorantRare$0.09
63/202SnomCommon$0.12
64/202FrosmothHolo Rare$0.32
65/202PikachuCommon$0.78
66/202RaichuRare$0.46
67/202ChinchouCommon$0.07
68/202ChinchouCommon$0.09
69/202LanturnRare$0.23
70/202JoltikCommon$0.11
71/202GalvantulaUncommon$0.07
72/202Tapu Koko VHolo Rare V$1.06
73/202YamperCommon$0.21
74/202YamperCommon$0.23
75/202BoltundHolo Rare$0.51
76/202BoltundHolo Rare$0.31
77/202PincurchinCommon$0.09
78/202MorpekoRare$0.45
79/202Morpeko VHolo Rare V$1.23
80/202Morpeko VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$4.38
81/202Galarian PonytaCommon$0.37
82/202Galarian RapidashRare$1.07
83/202GastlyCommon$0.26
84/202HaunterUncommon$0.32
85/202GengarHolo Rare$7.77
86/202Wobbuffet VHolo Rare V$1.16
87/202MunnaCommon$0.36
88/202MusharnaRare$0.22
89/202SinisteaCommon$0.22
90/202PolteageistRare$0.25
91/202Indeedee VHolo Rare V$0.91
92/202DiglettCommon$0.19
93/202DugtrioUncommon$0.20
94/202HitmonleeUncommon$0.45
95/202HitmonchanUncommon$0.33
96/202RhyhornCommon$0.03
97/202RhyhornCommon$0.02
98/202RhydonUncommon$0.16
99/202RhyperiorHolo Rare$0.44
100/202SudowoodoUncommon$0.16
101/202BaltoyCommon$0.05
102/202BaltoyCommon$0.07
103/202ClaydolRare$0.41
104/202Regirock VHolo Rare V$0.98
105/202MudbrayCommon$0.18
106/202MudsdaleRare$0.28
107/202SilicobraCommon$0.09
108/202SilicobraCommon$0.04
109/202SandacondaRare$0.22
110/202SandacondaHolo Rare$0.28
111/202ClobbopusCommon$0.07
112/202ClobbopusCommon$0.05
113/202GrapploctRare$0.21
114/202StonjournerRare$0.17
115/202Stonjourner VHolo Rare V$0.89
116/202Stonjourner VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$1.41
117/202Galarian ZigzagoonCommon$0.16
118/202Galarian LinooneUncommon$0.21
119/202Galarian ObstagoonHolo Rare$0.27
120/202Sableye VHolo Rare V$2.19
121/202SkorupiCommon$0.17
122/202DrapionRare$0.22
123/202CroagunkCommon$0.06
124/202ToxicroakHolo Rare$0.50
125/202NickitCommon$0.14
126/202ThievulRare$0.23
127/202Galarian MeowthCommon$0.17
128/202Galarian PerrserkerHolo Rare$0.38
129/202MawileCommon$0.11
130/202FerroseedCommon$0.18
131/202FerrothornUncommon$0.03
132/202Galarian StunfiskUncommon$0.06
133/202PawniardCommon$0.05
134/202BisharpUncommon$0.03
135/202CorviknightRare$0.32
136/202CufantCommon$0.05
137/202CopperajahHolo Rare$0.37
138/202Zacian VHolo Rare V$1.12
139/202Zamazenta VHolo Rare V$1.06
140/202SnorlaxRare$1.02
141/202Snorlax VHolo Rare V$10.08
142/202Snorlax VMAXHolo Rare VMAX$59.79
143/202HoothootCommon$0.05
144/202NoctowlRare$0.29
145/202MinccinoCommon$0.11
146/202MinccinoCommon$0.30
147/202CinccinoRare$0.44
148/202OranguruHolo Rare$0.33
149/202DrampaRare$0.21
150/202RookideeCommon$0.07
151/202CorvisquireUncommon$0.06
152/202WoolooCommon$0.20
153/202WoolooCommon$0.24
154/202DubwoolUncommon$0.07
155/202Cramorant VHolo Rare V$0.98
156/202Air BalloonUncommon$0.36
157/202BedeUncommon$0.06
158/202Big CharmUncommon$0.21
159/202Crushing HammerUncommon$0.16
160/202Energy RetrievalUncommon$0.17
161/202Energy SearchUncommon$0.18
162/202Energy SwitchUncommon$0.20
163/202Evolution IncenseUncommon$0.28
164/202Great BallUncommon$0.07
165/202HopUncommon$0.20
166/202Hyper PotionUncommon$0.10
167/202Lucky EggUncommon$0.11
168/202Lum BerryUncommon$0.06
169/202MarnieHolo Rare$0.36
170/202Metal SaucerUncommon$0.16
171/202Ordinary RodUncommon$0.30
172/202Pal PadUncommon$0.23
173/202Poké KidUncommon$0.17
174/202Pokégear 3.0Uncommon$0.36
175/202Pokémon CatcherUncommon$0.17
176/202Pokémon Center LadyUncommon$0.18
177/202PotionUncommon$0.10
178/202Professor's Research (Professor Magnolia)Holo Rare$0.27
179/202Quick BallUncommon$0.29
180/202Rare CandyUncommon$0.28
181/202Rotom BikeUncommon$0.11
182/202Sitrus BerryUncommon$0.12
183/202SwitchUncommon$0.12
184/202Team Yell GruntUncommon$0.06
185/202Vitality BandUncommon$0.09
186/202Aurora EnergyUncommon$0.24
187/202Dhelmise VUltra Rare$3.70
188/202Torkoal VUltra Rare$4.97
189/202Lapras VUltra Rare$5.97
190/202Morpeko VUltra Rare$14.14
191/202Wobbuffet VUltra Rare$5.02
192/202Indeedee VUltra Rare$2.28
193/202Stonjourner VUltra Rare$1.70
194/202Sableye VUltra Rare$13.44
195/202Zacian VUltra Rare$5.93
196/202Zamazenta VUltra Rare$5.22
197/202Snorlax VUltra Rare$34.48
198/202Cramorant VUltra Rare$2.87
199/202BedeUltra Rare$3.23
200/202MarnieUltra Rare$35.09
201/202Professor's Research (Professor Magnolia)Ultra Rare$4.95
202/202Team Yell GruntUltra Rare$3.20
203/202Lapras VMAXSecret Rare$21.15
204/202Morpeko VMAXSecret Rare$25.87
205/202Stonjourner VMAXSecret Rare$6.33
206/202Snorlax VMAXSecret Rare$104.44
207/202BedeSecret Rare$4.28
208/202MarnieSecret Rare$20.64
209/202Professor's Research (Professor Magnolia)Secret Rare$3.77
210/202Team Yell GruntSecret Rare$4.20
211/202Zacian VSecret Rare$21.19
212/202Zamazenta VSecret Rare$13.87
213/202Air BalloonSecret Rare$12.78
214/202Metal SaucerSecret Rare$2.65
215/202Ordinary RodSecret Rare$4.61
216/202Quick BallSecret Rare$11.62

Every Sword & Shield card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 225 of the 235 priced cards in Sword & Shield for about $200. The median card is $0.22. The remaining $351 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Snorlax VMAX (Secret), $104) is 19% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 36% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read
Card vs box−84.8% vs the box
chase card · Snorlax VMAX (Secret)$104.44
sealed booster box · Sword & Shield$688.99
the card15.2% of the box

CHEAPER THAN THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set costs $584.55 less than one sealed booster box of it. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-26.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read349 recorded points · 606 days
30-day return-0.4%
90-day return-1.2%
Realized vol7%annualized, ~90d daily returns
Max drawdown-6.2%recorded window
Off recorded high-5.0%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Rip or hold
Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Sword & Shield?

0.0%
of boxes beat the $689 box price

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Sword & Shield using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($689, $19.14/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 17.2% of the box ask on average.

Median box
$105
Expected value
$119
Bottom 5%
$72
Top 5%
$207
Where 10,000 boxes landed
8.1%
$0-75
71.6%
$75-150
17.3%
$150-225
2.7%
$225-300
0.3%
$300-375
0.1%
$375-450
Red buckets end below the $689 box price. 99.9% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.0% doubled it.
What a box actually pulls (sim average)
Hit tierPublished ratePoolAvg / boxMean valueBest case
VMAX / VSTAR1-in-23 (4.42%) (inherited)61.57$12.00Snorlax VMAX ($60)
Rainbow rare1-in-78 (1.28%) (inherited)140.45$18.39Snorlax VMAX ($104)
Pokemon V1-in-9 (11.63%) (inherited)174.18$1.82Snorlax V ($10)
Full-art Trainer1-in-70 (1.42%) (inherited)40.52$11.65Marnie ($35)
Full-art V1-in-51 (1.98%) (inherited)120.71$8.33Snorlax V ($34)
Gold secret rare1-in-131 (0.76%) (inherited)140.27$18.39Snorlax VMAX ($104)
Alt-art V1-in-201 (0.50%) (inherited)120.18$8.33Snorlax V ($34)
Rows that repeat a pool are not a duplication: our catalog files full-art and alt-art V under one rarity, and rainbow and gold secrets under another, so the two published rates roll separately over the same cards.
Not simulated. Radiant rare: rated at 1-in-20 (5.01%) by the study, but our catalog holds no card of this tier for this set. A tier nobody has published a rate for is left out rather than folded into a neighbouring tier.

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $689 box price (Sword & Shield Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: every rate here is inherited from an era study of 8,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Lost Origin) (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 32.7% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $66 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (216 of 216 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −0.2% 30d · −1.2% 90d
2025-01-27$5512026-09-25

Breadth: 58 cards up · 63 down · 114 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Celebi V (+12.1%).

Every Pokémon setSword & Shield market reportPack opening simulatorSealed product pricesHard to Gem: 22.8 Million PSA Slabs Say the Decade Decides, Texture Helps, and the PSA 10 Premium Runs the Other WayThe Trainer Box That Costs More Than Its Booster BoxThe Book at Thirty Days: Every Position We Own, Marked, Including the Pair We Had to SuspendThe Best Snorlax Cards to Buy Right Now