set deskSeptember 2026

Twilight Masquerade

226 cards trackedenglish printsungradedtcgplayer marketas of 2026-09-24

Full set$1,299

Median card$0.19

30 days−4.5%

90 days−12.1%

Top 10 share68%

Priced236

Set Market Report PRO

Where it sits in its own history339 recorded readings

All-time high$1,4802026-06-23

From that high−12.2%set value today

First recorded$1,074when we started tracking, not a release

Dearer than63%214 of 339 recorded days were cheaper

Ask about Twilight Masquerade

Answers come from this page's recorded prices and verified PSA sold medians, with the sample size behind each one.

Full workspace

Recorded moonstone data only. Not financial advice.

Cost concentration10 cards = 68% of the bill

10 cards · $886other 226 · $413

The short, expensive tail of the set.

Chase laddertop 10 by price

$349

Greninja ex - 214/167

Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex - 216/167

Sinistcha ex - 210/167

−1.1% 30d

$28.7

Hisuian Growlithe - 181/167

Every card226 cards · 226 priced

No.	Card	Rarity	Market
001/167	Tangela	Common	$0.13
002/167	Tangrowth	Common	$0.11
003/167	Pinsir	Common	$0.14
004/167	Spinarak	Common	$0.09
005/167	Ariados	Uncommon	$0.16
006/167	Sunkern	Common	$0.04
007/167	Sunflora	Uncommon	$0.09
008/167	Heracross	Uncommon	$0.16
009/167	Volbeat	Common	$0.12
010/167	Illumise	Common	$0.16
011/167	Leafeon	Uncommon	$0.26
012/167	Phantump	Common	$0.11
013/167	Trevenant	Common	$0.11
014/167	Grookey	Common	$0.18
015/167	Thwackey	Common	$0.76
016/167	Rillaboom	Uncommon	$0.11
017/167	Applin	Common	$0.16
018/167	Dipplin	Uncommon	$0.15
019/167	Iron Leaves	Rare	$0.16
020/167	Poltchageist	Common	$0.18
021/167	Poltchageist	Common	$0.15
022/167	Sinistcha	Rare	$0.18
023/167	Sinistcha ex	Double rare	$0.65
024/167	Teal Mask Ogerpon	Rare	$0.24
025/167	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex	Double rare	$3.18
026/167	Vulpix	Common	$0.19
027/167	Ninetales	Common	$0.17
028/167	Slugma	Common	$0.03
029/167	Magcargo ex	Double rare	$0.56
030/167	Torkoal	Common	$0.15
031/167	Chimchar	Common	$0.16
032/167	Monferno	Common	$0.15
033/167	Infernape	Rare	$0.26
034/167	Darumaka	Common	$0.07
035/167	Darmanitan	Uncommon	$0.07
036/167	Litwick	Common	$0.14
037/167	Lampent	Common	$0.18
038/167	Chandelure	Rare	$0.22
039/167	Chi-Yu	Uncommon	$0.21
040/167	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex	Double rare	$0.53
041/167	Poliwag	Common	$0.20
042/167	Poliwhirl	Common	$0.18
043/167	Poliwrath	Uncommon	$0.11
044/167	Goldeen	Common	$0.17
045/167	Seaking	Common	$0.17
046/167	Jynx	Common	$0.15
047/167	Corphish	Common	$0.06
048/167	Crawdaunt	Common	$0.12
049/167	Feebas	Common	$0.09
050/167	Milotic	Uncommon	$0.14
051/167	Snorunt	Common	$0.15
052/167	Glalie	Uncommon	$0.20
053/167	Froslass	Rare	$0.32
054/167	Glaceon	Uncommon	$0.29
055/167	Phione	Common	$0.12
056/167	Froakie	Common	$0.25
057/167	Frogadier	Common	$0.21
058/167	Cramorant	Uncommon	$0.16
059/167	Finizen	Common	$0.11
060/167	Palafin	Uncommon	$0.15
061/167	Palafin ex	Double rare	$0.60
062/167	Iron Bundle	Uncommon	$0.09
063/167	Walking Wake	Rare	$0.19
064/167	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex	Double rare	$0.90
065/167	Zapdos	Rare	$0.19
066/167	Shinx	Common	$0.11
067/167	Luxio	Common	$0.14
068/167	Luxray ex	Double rare	$0.71
069/167	Emolga	Common	$0.05
070/167	Helioptile	Common	$0.12
071/167	Heliolisk	Common	$0.12
072/167	Morpeko	Uncommon	$0.26
073/167	Tadbulb	Common	$0.10
074/167	Bellibolt	Uncommon	$0.17
075/167	Wattrel	Common	$0.13
076/167	Kilowattrel	Uncommon	$0.04
077/167	Iron Thorns ex	Double rare	$0.61
078/167	Clefairy	Common	$0.14
079/167	Clefable	Uncommon	$0.20
080/167	Abra	Common	$0.18
081/167	Kadabra	Common	$0.20
082/167	Alakazam	Rare	$0.30
083/167	Girafarig	Common	$0.15
084/167	Farigiraf	Uncommon	$0.16
085/167	Chimecho	Common	$0.10
086/167	Flabébé	Common	$0.12
087/167	Floette	Common	$0.13
088/167	Florges	Uncommon	$0.10
089/167	Swirlix	Common	$0.16
090/167	Slurpuff	Uncommon	$0.13
091/167	Sandygast	Common	$0.21
092/167	Palossand	Common	$0.14
093/167	Enamorus	Rare	$0.19
094/167	Scream Tail ex	Double rare	$0.66
095/167	Munkidori	Rare	$0.26
096/167	Fezandipiti	Rare	$0.13
097/167	Sandshrew	Common	$0.07
098/167	Sandslash	Uncommon	$0.17
099/167	Hisuian Growlithe	Common	$0.06
100/167	Hisuian Arcanine	Rare	$0.24
101/167	Nosepass	Common	$0.03
102/167	Probopass	Uncommon	$0.10
103/167	Timburr	Common	$0.04
104/167	Gurdurr	Common	$0.16
105/167	Conkeldurr	Uncommon	$0.13
106/167	Greninja ex	Double rare	$2.24
107/167	Hawlucha	Common	$0.12
108/167	Glimmet	Common	$0.15
109/167	Glimmora	Uncommon	$0.11
110/167	Ting-Lu	Rare	$0.21
111/167	Okidogi	Rare	$0.16
112/167	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex	Double rare	$0.93
113/167	Poochyena	Common	$0.04
114/167	Mightyena	Uncommon	$0.11
115/167	Venipede	Common	$0.15
116/167	Whirlipede	Common	$0.17
117/167	Scolipede	Uncommon	$0.15
118/167	Brute Bonnet	Uncommon	$0.15
119/167	Skarmory	Common	$0.14
120/167	Aron	Common	$0.11
121/167	Lairon	Common	$0.07
122/167	Aggron	Uncommon	$0.15
123/167	Heatran	Rare	$0.22
124/167	Varoom	Common	$0.05
125/167	Revavroom	Uncommon	$0.05
126/167	Applin	Common	$0.17
127/167	Dipplin	Uncommon	$0.11
128/167	Dreepy	Common	$0.16
129/167	Drakloak	Common	$0.26
130/167	Dragapult ex	Double rare	$2.49
131/167	Tatsugiri	Uncommon	$0.29
132/167	Farfetch'd	Common	$0.15
133/167	Chansey	Common	$0.17
134/167	Blissey ex	Double rare	$0.75
135/167	Eevee	Common	$0.24
136/167	Snorlax	Uncommon	$0.25
137/167	Aipom	Common	$0.17
138/167	Ambipom	Uncommon	$0.07
139/167	Ducklett	Common	$0.12
140/167	Swanna	Uncommon	$0.13
141/167	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex	Double rare	$0.81
142/167	Accompanying Flute	Uncommon	$0.14
143/167	Bug Catching Set	Uncommon	$0.26
144/167	Caretaker	Common	$0.09
145/167	Carmine	Uncommon	$0.22
146/167	Community Center	Uncommon	$0.13
147/167	Cook	Uncommon	$0.10
148/167	Enhanced Hammer	Uncommon	$0.13
149/167	Festival Grounds	Uncommon	$0.13
150/167	Handheld Fan	Uncommon	$0.25
151/167	Hassel	Uncommon	$0.18
152/167	Hyper Aroma	ACE SPEC Rare	$0.36
153/167	Jamming Tower	Uncommon	$0.18
154/167	Kieran	Uncommon	$0.18
155/167	Lana's Aid	Uncommon	$0.31
156/167	Love Ball	Uncommon	$0.18
157/167	Lucian	Uncommon	$0.12
158/167	Lucky Helmet	Uncommon	$0.26
159/167	Ogre's Mask	Uncommon	$0.07
160/167	Perrin	Uncommon	$0.12
161/167	Raifort	Uncommon	$0.06
162/167	Scoop Up Cyclone	ACE SPEC Rare	$0.37
163/167	Secret Box	ACE SPEC Rare	$4.99
164/167	Survival Brace	ACE SPEC Rare	$0.45
165/167	Unfair Stamp	ACE SPEC Rare	$15.76
166/167	Boomerang Energy	Uncommon	$0.21
167/167	Legacy Energy	ACE SPEC Rare	$4.08
168/167	Pinsir	Illustration rare	$15.72
169/167	Sunflora	Illustration rare	$8.34
170/167	Dipplin	Illustration rare	$13.17
171/167	Poltchageist	Illustration rare	$5.76
172/167	Torkoal	Illustration rare	$6.86
173/167	Infernape	Illustration rare	$14.32
174/167	Froslass	Illustration rare	$8.14
175/167	Phione	Illustration rare	$14.12
176/167	Cramorant	Illustration rare	$4.86
177/167	Heliolisk	Illustration rare	$4.71
178/167	Wattrel	Illustration rare	$5.95
179/167	Chimecho	Illustration rare	$5.44
180/167	Enamorus	Illustration rare	$8.16
181/167	Hisuian Growlithe	Illustration rare	$28.99
182/167	Probopass	Illustration rare	$4.52
183/167	Timburr	Illustration rare	$6.65
184/167	Lairon	Illustration rare	$4.54
185/167	Applin	Illustration rare	$15.30
186/167	Tatsugiri	Illustration rare	$22.92
187/167	Chansey	Illustration rare	$52.71
188/167	Eevee	Illustration rare	$90.01
189/167	Sinistcha ex	Ultra Rare	$1.89
190/167	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex	Ultra Rare	$4.53
191/167	Magcargo ex	Ultra Rare	$1.68
192/167	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex	Ultra Rare	$2.26
193/167	Palafin ex	Ultra Rare	$1.60
194/167	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex	Ultra Rare	$3.50
195/167	Luxray ex	Ultra Rare	$3.08
196/167	Iron Thorns ex	Ultra Rare	$2.45
197/167	Scream Tail ex	Ultra Rare	$2.26
198/167	Greninja ex	Ultra Rare	$15.31
199/167	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex	Ultra Rare	$3.53
200/167	Dragapult ex	Ultra Rare	$12.72
201/167	Blissey ex	Ultra Rare	$5.17
202/167	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex	Ultra Rare	$1.69
203/167	Caretaker	Ultra Rare	$0.98
204/167	Carmine	Ultra Rare	$4.02
205/167	Hassel	Ultra Rare	$1.43
206/167	Kieran	Ultra Rare	$4.27
207/167	Lana's Aid	Ultra Rare	$8.03
208/167	Lucian	Ultra Rare	$1.35
209/167	Perrin	Ultra Rare	$5.35
210/167	Sinistcha ex	Special illustration rare	$34.30
211/167	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex	Special illustration rare	$20.26
212/167	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex	Special illustration rare	$11.54
213/167	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex	Special illustration rare	$14.74
214/167	Greninja ex	Special illustration rare	$339.11
215/167	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex	Special illustration rare	$11.91
216/167	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex	Special illustration rare	$44.43
217/167	Carmine	Special illustration rare	$51.30
218/167	Kieran	Special illustration rare	$27.87
219/167	Lana's Aid	Special illustration rare	$37.42
220/167	Perrin	Special illustration rare	$163.76
221/167	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex	Hyper rare	$9.17
222/167	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex	Hyper rare	$7.46
223/167	Buddy-Buddy Poffin	Hyper rare	$11.58
224/167	Enhanced Hammer	Hyper rare	$6.02
225/167	Rescue Board	Hyper rare	$3.36
226/167	Luminous Energy	Hyper rare	$5.32

Every Twilight Masquerade card in the moonstone catalog, in collector-number order. Market is the same TCGplayer figure each card page quotes; a dot means we hold no price for that card yet.

If you are building it

You can own 226 of the 236 priced cards in Twilight Masquerade for about $413. The median card is $0.19. The remaining $886 sits in just 10 chase cards, and one of them (Greninja ex - 214/167, $349) is 27% of the entire set on its own. A full set is not one long climb. It is a cheap, fast 32% and then a very short, very expensive tail.

Advisor read

Card vs box−3.9% vs the box

chase card · Greninja ex - 214/167$339.11

sealed booster box · Twilight Masquerade$352.94

the card96.1% of the box

LEVEL WITH THE BOX

The single most valuable card in this set and one sealed booster box of it are within 5% of each other, which is too close to call either way. Box price TCGplayer, as of 2026-09-24.

Two recorded prices. The odds of pulling the card are the rip simulation below, not this line.

The quant read339 recorded points · 605 days

30-day return-3.9%

90-day return-11.3%

Realized vol4%annualized, ~90d daily returns

Max drawdown-28.4%recorded window

Off recorded high-12.2%

Computed from this set's own recorded value series; windows are stated and nothing is modeled. Medians anchor the return windows so a single outlier day never makes the figure.

Pull ratesmeasured

The chase, priced in packsGreninja ex ($339.11) lands about once per 941 packs · ~26.1 booster boxes · $9,225 of packs at today's box price

Tier	Odds per pack	Cards in tier	Expected per box
Double rare (ex)	1 in 6	14	6
Ultra rare (full art)	1 in 15	21	2.4
Illustration rare	1 in 13	21	2.77
Special illustration rare	1 in 86	11	0.42
Hyper rare (gold)	1 in 146	6	0.25

Odds are measured rates from TCGplayer Infinite pull-rate study (8,000+ packs); The Pokémon Company publishes no official odds. The chase math assumes every card in a tier is equally likely within its slot, and prices the packs at the tracked booster-box price. It is arithmetic, not a promise.

The product desk17 products · 7 lots

Cheapest recorded route to packsTwilight Masquerade Booster Pack $9.20/pack

Biggest 30-day moveTwilight Masquerade Fun Pack +9.6%

	Product	Price	Family	Packs	$/pack	30d
01	Twilight Masquerade Booster Box	$352.26	Booster Box	36	$9.79	+1.1%
02	Twilight Masqueade Half Booster Box	$196.88	Half Box	·	·	0.0%
03	Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)	$187.58	ETB (Pokémon Center)	·	·	−1.5%
04	Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Box	$102.93	Elite Trainer Box	·	·	−4.0%
05	Twilight Masquerade Booster Bundle	$74.09	Booster Bundle	6	$12.35	−3.2%
06	Twilight Masquerade Build & Battle Box	$62.44	Build & Battle	·	·	+1.5%
07	Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister [Snorlax]	$44.58	Blister	·	·	+3.9%
08	Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister [Revavroom]	$34.79	Blister	·	·	+0.4%
09	Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Steelix]	$30.00	Blister	·	·	−1.6%
10	Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Horsea]	$25.00	Blister	·	·	−9.1%
11	Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Porygon]	$24.99	Blister	·	·	0.0%
12	Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Lokix]	$23.22	Blister	·	·	+5.2%
13	Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister [Pupitar]	$10.60	Blister	·	·	−1.5%
14	Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster Pack	$10.52	Booster Pack	1	$10.52	+1.8%
15	Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister [Toxel]	$9.77	Blister	·	·	+1.9%
16	Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack	$9.20	Booster Pack	1	$9.20	+3.7%
17	Twilight Masquerade Fun Pack	$9.01	Product	·	·	+9.6%
Lots · multi-unit · outside per-pack math
	Twilight Masquerade Booster Box Case	$2,185.41	Booster Boxlot	·	·	+1.1%
	Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster Pack Case	$1,459.98	Booster Packlot	·	·	+4.1%
	Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Box Case	$1,222.07	Elite Trainer Boxlot	·	·	+4.8%
	Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Case	$782.59	ETB (Pokémon Center)lot	·	·	+5.2%
	Twilight Masquerade Build & Battle Box Display	$398.97	Build & Battlelot	·	·	·
	Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$44.07	Booster Packlot	·	·	−1.3%
	Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]	$37.25	Booster Packlot	·	·	+1.2%

Every price is the tracked TCGplayer figure from our nightly sealed sync. Cost per pack is shown only where the pack count is recorded on a single-unit product; lots (cases, multi-sets) are listed but never enter per-pack math. No pack counts are assumed.

Rip or hold

Monte Carlo · 10,000 boxes

Should you rip Twilight Masquerade?

4.3%

of boxes beat the $353 box price

We simulated 10,000 booster boxes of Twilight Masquerade using today's real market price for every card in the set, the real box price ($353, $9.80/pack), and the published per-pack pull rates for this set. Most simulated boxes came out worth less than they cost. The contents are worth 43.5% of the box ask on average.

Median box

$128

Expected value

$153

Bottom 5%

$79

Top 5%

$318

Where 10,000 boxes landed

47.9%

$0-125

42.5%

$125-250

5.5%

$250-375

3.0%

$375-500

0.9%

$500-625

0.1%

$625-750

0.1%

$750-875

0.0%

$875-1000

Red buckets end below the $353 box price. 76.2% of boxes returned less than half the box cost; 0.1% doubled it.

What a box actually pulls (sim average)

Hit tier	Published rate	Pool	Avg / box	Mean value	Best case
Illustration rare	1-in-13	21	2.73	$16.28	Eevee ($90)
Special illustration rare	1-in-86	11	0.42	$69.15	Greninja ex ($341)
Ultra rare (full art)	1-in-15	21	2.41	$4.16	Greninja ex ($15)
ACE SPEC rare	1-in-20 (4.94% +/- 0.46%) (inherited)	6	1.77	$4.22	Unfair Stamp ($15)
Double rare (ex)	1-in-6	14	5.99	$1.08	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex ($3)
Hyper rare (gold)	1-in-146	6	0.25	$7.13	Buddy-Buddy Poffin ($12)

Simulation, clearly labeled as one. Card prices and the $353 box price (Twilight Masquerade Booster Box, 36 packs) are live recorded data. Per-pack odds are published measurements: 5 of 6 rates were measured on this set; the rest are inherited from an era study of 8,000+ packs, not measured on this set (the study opened packs of Stellar Crown) (tcgplayer.com, 8,000+ packs). The simulation assumes every card in the tier is equally likely, which flatters any tier holding one expensive card: valuing each tier at its median card instead of its mean moves the expected value by 29.3% on this set. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos are worth $54 of the box before any hit. Unpriced cards count $0 (226 of 226 pooled cards are priced). Selling costs, fees and shipping are NOT deducted, so real-world outcomes skew worse than shown. Re-simulated every 2 days. Not financial advice.

Set valuereal tcgplayer prices · summed daily · −4.5% 30d · −12.1% 90d

2025-01-27$1,2992026-09-24

Breadth: 79 cards up · 117 down · 40 flat over 30 days. Biggest mover: Torkoal - 172/167 (+27.3%).